FL PrimD: Survey USA: Clinton up by 30%

[Josh/Devilman88]

New Poll: Florida President by Survey USA on 2007-12-03

Summary: Clinton: 54%, Edwards: 13%, Obama: 24%, Richardson: %, Other: 7%, Undecided: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Aizen]

Won't matter if Florida loses all of it's delegates. LOL

[Josh/Devilman88]

Which would be a good think for Obama.

[Aizen]

Which would be a good think for Obama.

True, or even a good thing.

[Eraserhead]

She has managed to keep monster leads in most of the big states but if she gets blown out in all or most of the very early states, it probably won't matter.

[Mr. Morden]

Well, her monster leads in MI and FL are irrelevant since they have no delegates.  On Feb. 5th, the 4 biggest delegate priizes are CA, NY, IL, and NJ.  It's obvious how NY and IL will vote.  Clinton does have monster leads in both CA and NJ, though as you say, she could still lose them if she gets wiped out in the pre-Feb. 5th states.  Obama is also in better shape in the medium-sized Feb. 5th states like GA, TN, MO, and CO than he is in CA and NJ, so he could at least fight her to a draw on Feb. 5th even if he loses CA, NY, and NJ.

[Eraserhead]

Well, her monster leads in MI and FL are irrelevant since they have no delegates.  On Feb. 5th, the 4 biggest delegate priizes are CA, NY, IL, and NJ.  It's obvious how NY and IL will vote.  Clinton does have monster leads in both CA and NJ, though as you say, she could still lose them if she gets wiped out in the pre-Feb. 5th states.  Obama is also in better shape in the medium-sized Feb. 5th states like GA, TN, MO, and CO than he is in CA and NJ, so he could at least fight her to a draw on Feb. 5th even if he loses CA, NY, and NJ.

Well NJ will be almost impossible anyway because as we all know, its basically a satallite state of NY (aka it's armpit). If he does well in the early states, I think Obama should make a serious play for Cali though.