Which of these states will first go Democrat?

[AuH2O]

You mean in one election, or permanently?

Because none of those will turn into DNC land under the current 2 party arrangement.

Virginia is the most overrated 'trending' place in the US. The lefties in Northern Virginia are government employees and trial lawyers and the like, and there is a limit on how many of them can live there; i.e., most of the new growth is party-neutral.

Look at what happened in Arizona, Nevada, and Colorado when middle and upper middle class Californians fled- those states picked up GOP voters. The high tech growth in N Virginia mostly attracts moderate Republicans.

The Western part of the state is trending GOP because of social issues. That will stem any residual growth in Arlington and parts of Fairfax. In the state legistlature, the GOP has gone from a minority party to holding 2/3 of the seats in about a decade. That's not a state trending hard to the Dems.

Mark Warner is similar to Evan Bayh. Democrats of that ilk can win anywhere, just as Mitt Romney won in Mass. for the GOP.

Plus, um, doesn't this thread assume the nation is trending Dem? That's a pretty bad assumption if he you look at party registration.

[AuH2O]

When you consider the time frame we're talking about though... I have a feeling government and it's associated industries are going to be a little more decentralized in the future, just because of communications advances. Virginia politics will be interesting, but the state stays GOP indefinitely.

Plus, at some point, the east coast is going to have to develop some kind of real option for transportation. People just aren't going to spend 2 hours driving to work... Nova is already a complete traffic nightmare (as is DC of course), my area (Hampton Roads) is 10th worst in the US, and Richmond isn't getting smaller. Maglev work is being done at a University near where I live.

I wonder how much more Montgomery County, Maryland can grow? Because land is much cheaper in MD than VA...

[AuH2O]

At least none of you are betting on this stuff... you'd be in the poorhouse in  a hurry...