A question on status?

[Harry Hayfield]

In this example (showing the effect of a national 6% swing from GOP to Dem), AZ, NC and WV have majorities of less than 2%. Am I correct in calling these states "toss ups"?

[Erc]

Is this the "In 1984, is Minnesota a tossup?" question?

I would say so.  If it's too close to call in that state, it's too close to call in that state, regarldess of how the rest of the country's voting.

I might not call them "swing states," though, as they don't have any effect on the result, per se.

[Gustaf]

If you're assuming a scenario where there is a uniform national swing of 6% from the GOP to the Democrats, then yes, you would be correct in calling them tossups.