Australian Election Results Thread

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Yeah - the AEC said Friday afternoon for the House.

I just noticed the pre-poll votes in Bennelong favoured Howard by a grand total of 9 votes (TPP). The swing remains 5.7%

[Democratic Hawk]

Yeah - the AEC said Friday afternoon for the House.

I just noticed the pre-poll votes in Bennelong favoured Howard by a grand total of 9 votes (TPP). The swing remains 5.7%

Just hope the 19.3% that remains to be counted doesn't favour Howard enough to turn Bennelong his way

Dave

[Democratic Hawk]

Macarthur, NSW is no longer considered close with the Liberals ahead by 718 (50.51%)

Herbert, QLD: ALP ahead by 10 (50.01%)
Bowman, QLD: ALP ahead by 60 (50.04%)
Swan: LIB ahead by 146 (50.11%)
Dickson, QLD: LIB ahead by 207 (50.13%)
Flynn, QLD: ALP ahead by 590 (50.42%)
La Trobe, VIC: LIB ahead by 665 (50.44%)
Corangamite, VIC: ALP ahead by 738 (50.46%)
Solomon, NT: ALP aheady by 428 (50.47%)

[ag]

Tightening in Solomon. Slight tightening in Swan and La Trobe.

Herbert, QLD: ALP ahead by 10 (50.01%)
Bowman, QLD: ALP ahead by 60 (50.04%)
Swan: LIB ahead by 132 (50.10%)
Dickson, QLD: LIB ahead by 207 (50.13%)
Solomon, NT: ALP aheady by 262 (50.27%)
Flynn, QLD: ALP ahead by 590 (50.42%)
La Trobe, VIC: LIB ahead by 660 (50.44%)
Corangamite, VIC: ALP ahead by 737 (50.46%)

[danny]

How long will it be until we get final results?

[Platypus]

Including the seante, i'd guess tuesday.

[ag]

When are they starting to count provisionals (so far, none have been counted for the entire country)?

[ag]

Slight increase of ALP margin in Herbert:

Herbert, QLD: ALP ahead by 27 (50.02%)
Bowman, QLD: ALP ahead by 60 (50.04%)
Swan: LIB ahead by 187 (50.14%)
Dickson, QLD: LIB ahead by 207 (50.13%)
Solomon, NT: ALP aheady by 262 (50.27%)
McEwen, VIC: LIB ahead by 396 (50.23%)
Flynn, QLD: ALP ahead by 590 (50.42%)
La Trobe, VIC: LIB ahead by 661 (50.44%)
Corangamite, VIC: ALP ahead by 764 (50.47%)

Update: Swan's LIB lead grows.
Update2: Swan's LIB lead grows again. Herbert slightly tighter.
Update3: ALP lead in Corangamite is a bit up
Update4: McEwen is back on the "close" list - and pretty close, actually.

[Democratic Hawk]

McEwen, VIC: LIB ahead by 396 (50.23%)
Update4: McEwen is back on the "close" list - and pretty close, actually.

Yes, thus far, absent votes counted in McEwen have split pretty comfortably (61.26% on TPP) in Labor's favour

Dave

[ag]

Corangamite is out of the "close" zone - ALP's lead is up to 0.54% (nearly 900 votes).  ALP lead is almost doubled in Bowman (though zero times 2 is still zero   ), Herbert is now in LIB column (though still barely), but  LIB lead is slightly down in both Dickson and La Trobe. Still very close in awfully many places.

Herbert, QLD: LIB ahead by 64 (50.04%)
Bowman, QLD: ALP ahead by 116 (50.08%)
Dickson, QLD: LIB ahead by 164 (50.10%)
Swan, WA: LIB ahead by 187 (50.14%)
Solomon, NT: ALP aheady by 262 (50.27%)
McEwen, VIC: LIB ahead by 396 (50.23%)
Flynn, QLD: ALP ahead by 590 (50.42%)
La Trobe, VIC: LIB ahead by 603 (50.39%)


BTW, first provisionals got counted (so far 400 ballots about half of them from Tasmania, breaking out nicely in ALP favor).

[Democratic Hawk]

Robertson, NSW and McEwen, VIC are no longer considered close with ALP ahead by 928 (50.62%) and Liberals ahead by 862 (50.52%), respectively

Robertson, NSW is currently but 0.01% away from being "close", so it could be joining McEwen

Dave

[ag]

A few minor adjustments. In both Swan and Herbert LIB lead grows a bit, in La Trobe it shrinks slightly. ALP lead is slightly up in Flynn

Herbert, QLD: LIB ahead by 65 (50.04%)
Bowman, QLD: ALP ahead by 116 (50.08%)
Dickson, QLD: LIB ahead by 136 (50.08%)
Swan, WA: LIB ahead by 186 (50.14%)
Solomon, NT: ALP aheady by 262 (50.27%)
Robertson, NT: ALP aheady by 296 (50.18%)
McEwen, VIC: LIB ahead by 396 (50.23%)
La Trobe, VIC: LIB ahead by 582 (50.37%)
Flynn, QLD: ALP ahead by 636 (50.44%)

Interestingly enough, in La Trobe ALP leads on the ordinary ballots, on the absents and even on the pre-polls, but the Lib has over a 1000 vote margin on the postals. Provisionals remain to be counted.

update: minor cut to LIB leads in Herbert, Swan, and Dickson. Dickson now is the closest it has been in a while.
update2: Robertson is once again on the list

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Would be amusing if Herbert (ie; Townsville) turned out to be the only Coalition seat left in northern Queensland.

[ag]

Dickson, La Trobe, Herbert all slightly tighter, Swan's LIB lead still growing.

Herbert, QLD: LIB ahead by 60 (50.04%)
Dickson, QLD: LIB ahead by 106 (50.07%)
Bowman, QLD: ALP ahead by 116 (50.08%)
Swan, WA: LIB ahead by 239 (50.17%)
Solomon, NT: ALP aheady by 262 (50.27%)
Robertson, NT: ALP aheady by 296 (50.18%)
McEwen, VIC: LIB ahead by 396 (50.23%)
La Trobe, VIC: LIB ahead by 544 (50.34%)
Flynn, QLD: ALP ahead by 636 (50.44%)

[Silent Hunter]

Dickson, La Trobe, Herbert all slightly tighter, Swan's LIB lead still growing.

Herbert, QLD: LIB ahead by 60 (50.04%)
Dickson, QLD: LIB ahead by 106 (50.07%)
Bowman, QLD: ALP ahead by 116 (50.08%)
Swan, WA: LIB ahead by 239 (50.17%)
Solomon, NT: ALP aheady by 262 (50.27%)
Robertson, NT: ALP aheady by 296 (50.18%)
McEwen, VIC: LIB ahead by 396 (50.23%)
La Trobe, VIC: LIB ahead by 544 (50.34%)
Flynn, QLD: ALP ahead by 636 (50.44%)

This election was almost a week ago. It takes that long to count results? I'd expect it from somewhere like Liberia, but not Australia.

[ag]

Update: A few minor changes here and there. McEwen's margin has gone a tiny bit up, Robertson's a bit down.

Herbert, QLD: LIB ahead by 60 (50.04%)
Dickson, QLD: LIB ahead by 106 (50.07%)
Bowman, QLD: ALP ahead by 116 (50.08%)
McEwen, VIC: LIB ahead by 150 (50.08%)
Swan, WA: LIB ahead by 239 (50.17%)
Solomon, NT: ALP aheady by 262 (50.27%)
Robertson, NT: ALP ahead by 273 (50.17%)
La Trobe, VIC: LIB ahead by 544 (50.34%)
Flynn, QLD: ALP ahead by 635 (50.44%)

Update: McEwen LIB lead is up again.

[ag]

Combination of mandatory voting, lots of opportunities to vote outside of the polling place (absents, pre-polls, postals, etc.), complicated electoral system and lack of gerrymander.

What you normally get the first night everywhere is, actually, an unoficial uncertified tally -  but leads are generally so big, you can trust them.  The official tally will come much later - but (almost) nobody has to wait.

Here there are many votes that are not yet delivered on the election night (eg absents and postals will only arrive to their districts a few days later)  - as the voting is mandatory a lot of people are using those possibilities. Furthermore, the electoral system is rather complicated - technically, you can't even formally count the votes until you receive them all. Of course, in practice the top two are known - so they do count, but they can't really do the elimination, etc. - and it matters for the Senate. Finally, because of the lack of gerrymander you get a lot of close districts - it's simply not final till its final.

BTW, when it was close in 2000, we had to wait a lot longer then just a week Sam in Washington state, quite recently, wasn't it?

[Democratic Hawk]

McKew declares victory in Bennelong

http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2007/12/01/2106949.htm

With most absent, pre-poll and postal ballots counted, there is little chance Howard can win once they and the provisionals are all done and dusted. McKew, currently, leads Howard 51.25% to 48.75% with 92.3% of votes counted

Dave

[Jens]

Combination of mandatory voting, lots of opportunities to vote outside of the polling place (absents, pre-polls, postals, etc.), complicated electoral system and lack of gerrymander.

What you normally get the first night everywhere is, actually, an unoficial uncertified tally -  but leads are generally so big, you can trust them.  The official tally will come much later - but (almost) nobody has to wait.

Here there are many votes that are not yet delivered on the election night (eg absents and postals will only arrive to their districts a few days later)  - as the voting is mandatory a lot of people are using those possibilities. Furthermore, the electoral system is rather complicated - technically, you can't even formally count the votes until you receive them all. Of course, in practice the top two are known - so they do count, but they can't really do the elimination, etc. - and it matters for the Senate. Finally, because of the lack of gerrymander you get a lot of close districts - it's simply not final till its final.

BTW, when it was close in 2000, we had to wait a lot longer then just a week Sam in Washington state, quite recently, wasn't it?

I find it quite interesting that postal votes can arrive later. We (DK) only include votes that has arrived in the polling station on the day of the election (which gives a final general result no later that 2AM when the election closes at 8PM). The Aussies for sure have constructed a complicated system

[minionofmidas]

Combination of mandatory voting, lots of opportunities to vote outside of the polling place (absents, pre-polls, postals, etc.), complicated electoral system and lack of gerrymander.

What you normally get the first night everywhere is, actually, an unoficial uncertified tally -  but leads are generally so big, you can trust them.  The official tally will come much later - but (almost) nobody has to wait.

Here there are many votes that are not yet delivered on the election night (eg absents and postals will only arrive to their districts a few days later)  - as the voting is mandatory a lot of people are using those possibilities. Furthermore, the electoral system is rather complicated - technically, you can't even formally count the votes until you receive them all. Of course, in practice the top two are known - so they do count, but they can't really do the elimination, etc. - and it matters for the Senate. Finally, because of the lack of gerrymander you get a lot of close districts - it's simply not final till its final.

BTW, when it was close in 2000, we had to wait a lot longer then just a week Sam in Washington state, quite recently, wasn't it?

I find it quite interesting that postal votes can arrive later. We (DK) only include votes that has arrived in the polling station on the day of the election (which gives a final general result no later that 2AM when the election closes at 8PM). The Aussies for sure have constructed a complicated system

That's the law here too. However, we shouldn't forget that postal delivery in rural Australia, as also in the US, may take more than a day or two.

[ag]

Minor increase of ALP lead in Solomon

Herbert, QLD: LIB ahead by 60 (50.04%)
Dickson, QLD: LIB ahead by 106 (50.07%)
Bowman, QLD: ALP ahead by 116 (50.08%)
McEwen, VIC: LIB ahead by 150 (50.08%)
Swan, WA: LIB ahead by 239 (50.17%)
Robertson, NSW: ALP ahead by 243 (50.15%)
Solomon, NT: ALP aheady by 267 (50.28%)
Flynn, QLD: ALP ahead by 635 (50.44%)
La Trobe, VIC: LIB ahead by 710 (50.44%)

update: Robertson is getting slightly tighter - but relatively few votes left to count.
update2: La Trobe is now almost safe.

[Democratic Hawk]

The Returning Officer for Herbert, QLD says that the result will not be known for at least another week. Is there no statutory cut-off date by which votes must be received and counted after the election?

Dave

[Democratic Hawk]

76 divisions are yet to start counting absent ballots; only 6 have started to count provisionals; while 14 are yet to start counting postals

Dave

[Democratic Hawk]

Indeed, Scarlett O'Hara would be describing the count as being as slow as molasses in January

Dave

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

No.

But in practice it must be done before Parliament resumes next year. Probably sometime in late January/early February.

Rudd's been sworn in - he's officially the 26th Prime Minister of the Commonwealth of Australia. So the voting is just to get everything in order.