Washington a swing state?

[bgwah]

The 7th congressional district is basically the city of Seattle. Can someone post the results of it? I'm just curious as to how exactly it voted...

[ATFFL]

Yeah, Mill, its like S-USA knew we were talking about there being no data.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

The 7th congressional district is basically the city of Seattle. Can someone post the results of it? I'm just curious as to how exactly it voted...

Gore: 71.8%
Bush: 20.7%
Nader: 6.7%

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

This will be a fun one to dredge up when Bush wins Washington in November...

what the hell makes you think any person will vote for Patty Murray and then vote for Bush? Or do you really think she will lose to Mr. Fascist-supporter.

[AuH2O]

Umm well mr. Boy Genius, an incumbent Senator could very easily win narrowly while the Presidential candidate of her party lost narrowly.

I'm not predicting Washington swings hard to the GOP. I'm predicting Bush is going to destroy Kerry. If that happens, with Nader on the ballot, Washington will go GOP.

The Senate race is tougher though, because Nader voters could (and will, to some extent) vote Murray. But perhaps that escaped you, oh might political wizard?

[bgwah]

The 7th congressional district is basically the city of Seattle. Can someone post the results of it? I'm just curious as to how exactly it voted...

Gore: 71.8%
Bush: 20.7%
Nader: 6.7%

Did you get that from this site or somewhere else? I don't have a full membership here but I want to know the raw numbers of the 4th and 5th districts so I can figure out how differently western and eastern Washington vote. It would be a lot easier than doing 20 counties.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

The 7th congressional district is basically the city of Seattle. Can someone post the results of it? I'm just curious as to how exactly it voted...

Gore: 71.8%
Bush: 20.7%
Nader: 6.7%

Did you get that from this site or somewhere else? I don't have a full membership here but I want to know the raw numbers of the 4th and 5th districts so I can figure out how differently western and eastern Washington vote. It would be a lot easier than doing 20 counties.

Congressional districts tend not to follow county lines, so you'd only have a very crude estimate.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

The 7th congressional district is basically the city of Seattle. Can someone post the results of it? I'm just curious as to how exactly it voted...

Gore: 71.8%
Bush: 20.7%
Nader: 6.7%

Did you get that from this site or somewhere else? I don't have a full membership here but I want to know the raw numbers of the 4th and 5th districts so I can figure out how differently western and eastern Washington vote. It would be a lot easier than doing 20 counties.

http://www.ncec.org/redistricting/district.phtml?district=wa108

[bejkuy]

I'd love to see Bush take my home state but I just don't see it happening this time around.  George Nethercutt has an uphill battle in unseating Patty Murray.  But remember this is the same guy that took out the speaker of the house Rep. Tom Foley in 1994.

[bgwah]

The 7th congressional district is basically the city of Seattle. Can someone post the results of it? I'm just curious as to how exactly it voted...

Gore: 71.8%
Bush: 20.7%
Nader: 6.7%

Did you get that from this site or somewhere else? I don't have a full membership here but I want to know the raw numbers of the 4th and 5th districts so I can figure out how differently western and eastern Washington vote. It would be a lot easier than doing 20 counties.

Congressional districts tend not to follow county lines, so you'd only have a very crude estimate.

Well just look at the election maps on this website and youll see that the county and CD lines, while not exactly the same, are very similar. One or two places from Western WA spill into Eastern, but pracitcally no one lives in those areas anyway.

Thanks BRTD.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

This will be a fun one to dredge up when Bush wins Washington in November...

This one was fun to dredge up indeed.

[Alcon]

In defense of my state, no polls out of Washington ever showed Bush up. Moore Information, a partisan Republican pollster, showed a push on June 24th. Other than that, the results range from Kerry by 1 (SurveyUSA on January 5th - the first poll) to 14 (Elway on September 19th) with most every poll in the Kerry +5-9 range. The final result basically fell at the poll average, perhaps slightly higher.

Anyone who defends their statements by saying that Washington was in play but then started becoming solid needs to look at the non-partisan poll breakdown average:

Pre-June: Kerry +5.6
June and July: Kerry +5.0
August: Kerry +7.7
September: Kerry +6.5
October and November: Kerry +6.7

The final result was Kerry +7.2.

Anyone who thought Washington was ever a battleground state certainly has an odd definition of "battleground."

[King]

With the right candidate from the right, it could be possible...

[Alcon]

With the right candidate from the right, it could be possible...

Yes, but not this year. Bush was way too conservative.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

What I find hilarious is apparentely AuH2O thought Nader would carry the state for Bush, meaning he expected Nader to actually get enough votes to be considered relevant. LOL@anyone who was expecting a strong Nader showing anyway.

[AuH2O]

No, I expected Bush to win by a larger margin. I did say Kerry's max performance was a 3% loss, so it's not like I was stunned.

I did make $1500 on the election... not what I wanted, but not horrible.

[Napoleon XIV]

MODU you "Bill O`Reilly Republcian"

 $5,000  that Kerry gets a higher percentage of the vote in Virginia than Bush gets in Washington.

Well.. Time to pay up

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

actually you siad you were expecting Bush to narrowly beat Kerry in Washington and Murray to narrowly win because she would get the Nader vote, but as we saw the Nader vote was so small it was basically irrelevant.

also I do recall you saying Kerry's ceiling was 47%. He did break that.

[A18]

Of course, I said this election would be close all along.

What were you predictions?

[phk]

Kerry even won the White Male vote in Washington 49-48

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I didn't really make an official prediction, but what I was expecting just had NM, OH and WI wrong. I was actually more worried about WI than OH though.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

As for Washington, let me just say this: There wasn't a single poll all season that had Bush ahead. The best one for him was a tie, that was in June, and it was by Moore Information, a partisan R firm with a weak track record. At any point believing Bush had the edge in Washington is rather silly.