SC PrimR: ARG: Romney leads in SC

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

New Poll: South Carolina President by ARG on 2007-10-29

Summary: Giuliani: 23%, McCain: 13%, Romney: 29%, Thompson, F: 10%, Other: 13%, Undecided: 12%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[© tweed]

ARG sucks, but this has to set off an alarm.  there's no ing way Romney can win here, and it looks like he might.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

ARG sucks, but this has to set off an alarm.  there's no ing way Romney can win here, and it looks like he might.

I don't see why there should be "no way" Romney can win here, it's not like the other candidates are any better fits for SC than a Mormon (except for Thompson, who has become a complete joke)

[Lief 🗽]

Hasn't Romney always done miserably in South Carolina (and the rest of the South)? This poll, like all other ARG polls, is probably trash.

[Verily]

Hasn't Romney always done miserably in South Carolina (and the rest of the South)? This poll, like all other ARG polls, is probably trash.

Possibly, though Romney has shown signs of life in South Carolina in other polls lately. Part of why he does so bad in much of the South may be more because Thompson is strong there than because Romney is particularly bad. South Carolina has seen a lot more of what an idiot Thompson is, and a lot more of Romney's campaign ads than the rest of the South.

[Mr. Morden]

Each of the last 3 non-ARG polls has had Romney at 15-17%.  So no, he hasn't always done miserably there.  But only ARG has shown him doing better than that.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Like I've said, Fred is a fad.

[Erc]

Huckabee at 5?   Somehow I doubt that.

Even if this poll weren't garbage, a lead when you're still in the 20's is barely a lead at all...and it can reverse very easily after IA/NH happens.  Puts him in a good position to solidify his victories should he win IA & NH, though.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Another reptible poll was released showing Thompson ahead, ARG inflate numbers on candidates and I think they are inflating the frontrunner status of Hillary's and inflating the early leads in primary states of Mitt Romney's.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Where is Colbert?  Are they trying to destroy his truthiness?!

[Eraserhead]

Where is Colbert?  Are they trying to destroy his truthiness?!

He couldn't get on either ballot.

[Smash255]

If this poll is somewhat on the mark or close (which I have questions about) I would say its a result of early Rudy voters who switched to Thompson when he jumped in, and now seeing Thompson .  is a complete joke have jumped to Romney.  Also Romney I believe is spending quite a bit more than other candidates in S.C as well, which could be a determining factor.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Romney been blanketing the TV channels with his ads.  Haven't seen an ad from any of the others of late.  Can't say anything about radio, as I don't listen to commercial radio.  So Romney doing well isn't surprising.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Huckabee at 5?   Somehow I doubt that.

Even if this poll weren't garbage, a lead when you're still in the 20's is barely a lead at all...and it can reverse very easily after IA/NH happens.  Puts him in a good position to solidify his victories should he win IA & NH, though.

Which all signs point to Romney winning both those states.

With Thompson pretty much out of the way, the only thing Romney has to do now is collect all the voters who aren't exactly thrilled with a pro-choice, gun-grabbing, cross-dressing, thrice married NYC mayor.

[Mr. Morden]

Romney been blanketing the TV channels with his ads.  Haven't seen an ad from any of the others of late.  Can't say anything about radio, as I don't listen to commercial radio.  So Romney doing well isn't surprising.

Everything I've read indicates that Giuliani has so far shunned TV ads in favor of radio ads and direct mail.  He's done some major radio ad buys in the early primary states.  I don't know exactly how big his radio ad buys have been in SC specifically, but he's definitely been on the radio there.

[Mr. Morden]

With Thompson pretty much out of the way, the only thing Romney has to do now is collect all the voters who aren't exactly thrilled with a pro-choice, gun-grabbing, cross-dressing, thrice married NYC mayor.

About the thrice married thing, I've been thinking that Giuliani should run an ad that's a variation of this fake Kennedy attack against Romney from a 1994 SNL segment:

http://snltranscripts.jt.org/94/94dupdate.phtml

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One Wife at a Time.  That would make a good campaign slogan.

[Aizen]

Romney is your Republican champion

[Kaine for Senate '18]

New Poll: South Carolina President by ARG on 2007-10-29

Summary: Giuliani: 23%, McCain: 13%, Romney: 29%, Thompson, F: 10%, Other: 13%, Undecided: 12%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

This is worrying.  If Romney wins SC, then he will probably get the nomination.

[Aizen]

New Poll: South Carolina President by ARG on 2007-10-29

Summary: Giuliani: 23%, McCain: 13%, Romney: 29%, Thompson, F: 10%, Other: 13%, Undecided: 12%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

This is worrying.  If Romney wins SC, then he will probably get the nomination.

And lose to any Democrat, including Hillary. Frankly, I think it's between Romney and Rudy at this point. The winner picks Huckabee as his VP. That's my bold prediction