OH-SurveyUSA: Clinton tops most Republicans

[Tender Branson]

Clinton: 47%
Giuliani: 45%

Clinton: 49%
Thompson: 43%

Clinton: 50%
Romney: 41%

Clinton: 46%
McCain: 46%

Clinton: 53%
Huckabee: 37%

Clinton: 52%
Paul: 35%

Gore: 49%
Giuliani: 45%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=88ee22a0-fd25-4335-8757-55c4df15e945

[Tender Branson]

Updated map with all the latest state polls (Clinton vs. Giuliani):

[Mr. Morden]

Do you have a spreadsheet of all those polls that you could post?  I haven't really been following the state-by-state general election polls, but I'd be curious as to which states are closest in Clinton v. Giuliani.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

That equals a 354-184 EC victory for Clinton assuming Washington goes her way and every unpolled state votes the way it'd be expected to:

[Tender Branson]

Do you have a spreadsheet of all those polls that you could post?  I haven't really been following the state-by-state general election polls, but I'd be curious as to which states are closest in Clinton v. Giuliani.

OK, ready - (Source, Date and percentage for Clinton/Giuliani) - If you click on "1/T" in the SUSA links, you can follow their tracking polls):

WA: SUSA - 09/14/2007-09/16/2007 - Clinton: 47 - Giuliani: 47

OR: SUSA - 09/14/2007-09/16/2007 - Clinton: 46 - Giuliani: 44

CA: SUSA - 09/14/2007-09/16/2007 - Clinton: 57 - Giuliani: 37

NV: Mason Dixon - 10/09/2007-10/11/2007 - Clinton: 44 - Giuliani: 51

AZ: Rasmussen - 10/03/2007 - Clinton: 39 - Giuliani: 48

CO: Rasmussen - 08/08/2007 - Clinton: 40 - Giuliani: 50

NM: SUSA - 09/14/2007-09/16/2007 - Clinton: 51 - Giuliani: 43

KS: SUSA - 10/12/2007 - 10/14/2007 - Clinton: 37 - Giuliani: 54

OK: SUSA - 09/26/2007 - Clinton: 44 - Giuliani: 47

TX: SUSA - 06/08/2007 - 06/10/2007 - Clinton: 37 - Giuliani: 54

MO: Rasmussen - 10/10/2007 - Clinton: 42 - Giuliani: 45

AR: Rasmussen - 08/15/2007 - Clinton: 55 - Giuliani: 37

TN: Rasmussen - 09/19/2007 - Clinton: 46 - Giuliani: 44

KY: SUSA - 10/12/2007 - 10/14/2007 - Clinton: 47 - Giuliani: 45

WV: Fabrizio, McLaughlin and Associates - 05/2007 - Clinton: 42 - Giuliani: 36

VA: SUSA - 09/14/2007 - 09/16/2007 - Clinton: 50 - Giuliani: 44

NC: Public Policy Polling - 06/19/2007 - Clinton: 43 - Giuliani: 47

AL: SUSA - 10/12/2007 - 10/14/2007 - Clinton: 44 - Giuliani: 52

GA: Rasmussen - 09/12/2007 - Clinton: 39 - Giuliani: 49

FL: Quinnipiac - 10/01/2007 - 10/08/2007 - Clinton: 46 - Giuliani: 43

MN: SUSA - 09/14/2007 - 09/16/2007 - Clinton: 52 - Giuliani: 41

IA: SUSA - 09/14/2007 - 09/16/2007 - Clinton: 50 - Giuliani: 42

WI: Rasmussen - 10/03/2007 - Clinton: 43 - Giuliani: 42

IL: Rasmussen - 08/23/2007 - Clinton: 49 - Giuliani: 39

MI: Rasmussen - 08/15/2007 - Clinton: 49 - Giuliani: 40

OH: SUSA - 10/12/2007 - 10/14/2007 - Clinton: 47 - Giuliani: 45

PA: Quinnipiac - 10/01/2007 - 10/08/2007 - Clinton: 48 - Giuliani: 42

NJ: Rasmussen - 10/10/2007 - Clinton: 51 - Giuliani: 40

NY: Quinnipiac - 10/09/2007 - 10/15/2007 - Clinton: 50 - Giuliani: 36

CT: Quinnipiac - 10/09/2007 - 10/15/2007 - Clinton: 44 - Giuliani: 42

MA: SUSA - 09/14/2007 - 09/16/2007 - Clinton: 59 - Giuliani: 34

RI: Brown University - 09/08/2007 - 09/09/2007 - Clinton: 54 - Giuliani: 28

NH: Rasmussen - 09/16/2007 - Clinton: 43 - Giuliani: 42

[Person Man]

It is becoming more and more likely that Giuliani will not be the nominee. What if it is Thompson?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

It is becoming more and more likely that Giuliani will not be the nominee. What if it is Thompson?

He does even worse. The fact that Giuliani is their best candidate, and that the above map shows  what he'd get according to polls, shows just how f**ked the GOP is.

[Eraserhead]

It is becoming more and more likely that Giuliani will not be the nominee. What if it is Thompson?

I would say it is becoming more and more likely he will be.

[Gustaf]

Yeah, Guliani is looking very strong right now. I'm actually inclined to think that Huckabee has a better chance than Thompson of derailing him...

Still, it should be noted that Clinton is having a high in the polls right now. It's more than a year left and a lot will still happen. I remember the last presidential election which saw a LOT of glee in all directions right up to the famous "I will now recieve my accolades thread". This election still qualifies as a highly competitive one, which means that anyone can win. While Clinton is definitely the favourite it's not yet in the bag.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I'd say it breaks down like this:

Romney - 50% chance of winning
Giuliani - 40% chance of winning
Thompson - 6% chance of winning
McCain - 1.5% chance of winning
Huckabee - 0.5% chance of winning

No other candidate stands any notewothy chance of winning the GOP nomination, Ron Paul fanboys' delusions aside.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

I'd say it breaks down like this:

Romney - 50% chance of winning
Giuliani - 40% chance of winning
Thompson - 6% chance of winning
McCain - 1.5% chance of winning
Huckabee - 0.5% chance of winning

No other candidate stands any notewothy chance of winning the GOP nomination, Ron Paul fanboys' delusions aside.

I'd say Romney does not have a 50% chance of winning.  He is a poor candidate.  Giuliani is the only Republican who can even come close to winning, at this point.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I'd say it breaks down like this:

Romney - 50% chance of winning
Giuliani - 40% chance of winning
Thompson - 6% chance of winning
McCain - 1.5% chance of winning
Huckabee - 0.5% chance of winning

No other candidate stands any notewothy chance of winning the GOP nomination, Ron Paul fanboys' delusions aside.

I'd say Romney does not have a 50% chance of winning.  He is a poor candidate.  Giuliani is the only Republican who can even come close to winning, at this point.

Winning the nomination, not the general. Obviously Romney's chances in the general are piss-poor.

[Cubby]

NY: Quinnipiac - 10/09/2007 - 10/15/2007 - Clinton: 50 - Giuliani: 36

CT: Quinnipiac - 10/09/2007 - 10/15/2007 - Clinton: 44 - Giuliani: 42

MA: SUSA - 09/14/2007 - 09/16/2007 - Clinton: 59 - Giuliani: 34

Thats a bit of a shock. I know Giuliani is popular here, but I didn't think the race would be that close.

Giuliani is loved in Connecticut (and New Jersey) for making NYC safe enough for suburban families to visit. For a long time, Giuliani was my favorite Republican. Any other Republican, except McCain would be lucky to get 40% this time in either state.