NV Prim/GE: Mason-Dixon sez Clinton/Giuliani lead, 3 GOP candidates beat Clinton

[Sam Spade]

Last poll was in late June:

http://www.lvrj.com/news/10534647.html

Dems
Clinton 39% (0)
Obama 21% (+4)
Edwards 9% (-3)
Richardson 8% (+1)
Biden 2%
Kucinich 1%
Undecided 20%

GOP
Giuliani 28% (+11)
Thompson 23% (-2)
Romney 17% (-3)
McCain 9% (+1)
Huckabee 2% (-1)
Hunter 2%
Paul 1%
Undecided 18%

GE Matchups
Giuliani 51%
Clinton 44%
Undecided 5%

Thompson 50%
Clinton 44%
Undecided 6%

Romney 49%
Clinton 43%
Undecided 8%

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Wow.  Wonder if Giuliani has started airing ads there, too.

[Nym90]

Mason Dixon obviously always makes us take notice....

Not good numbers in the general for Clinton; even Romney leads her by more than Bush beat Kerry.

[Sam Spade]

Mason Dixon obviously always makes us take notice....

Not good numbers in the general for Clinton; even Romney leads her by more than Bush beat Kerry.

That's probably the Mormon factor.  Normally, Romney runs about 4-5 points behind the other Republicans.

[Nym90]

Mason Dixon obviously always makes us take notice....

Not good numbers in the general for Clinton; even Romney leads her by more than Bush beat Kerry.

That's probably the Mormon factor.  Normally, Romney runs about 4-5 points behind the other Republicans.

True, but for her to trail Thompson or Giuliani by more than Kerry lost to Bush still isn't a good sign, either.

But of course state polls are a bit all over the map right now (either that or it's going to be a really interesting and different election), as evidenced by Clinton's large lead in Arkansas over all GOP contenders.

[Erc]

Ah, remember when people said Edwards would have a chance in NV?

Actually, did anyone ever say that?

[Eraserhead]

Ha looks like ARG was way off as usual! Obama is actually going up here and Clinton is flat.

[Gustaf]

Mason Dixon obviously always makes us take notice....

Not good numbers in the general for Clinton; even Romney leads her by more than Bush beat Kerry.

That's probably the Mormon factor.  Normally, Romney runs about 4-5 points behind the other Republicans.

True, but for her to trail Thompson or Giuliani by more than Kerry lost to Bush still isn't a good sign, either.

But of course state polls are a bit all over the map right now (either that or it's going to be a really interesting and different election), as evidenced by Clinton's large lead in Arkansas over all GOP contenders.

It is going to be a different election. I think Nevada is likely to vote similar to Colorado and look at the Colorado polls: the exact same pattern there. I think NEvada and Colorado are both likely to be strong for Guliani while Arkansas and Tennessee, for isntance, seems to be going in the opposite direction.

[Tender Branson]

Mason Dixon obviously always makes us take notice....

Not good numbers in the general for Clinton; even Romney leads her by more than Bush beat Kerry.

That's probably the Mormon factor.  Normally, Romney runs about 4-5 points behind the other Republicans.

True, but for her to trail Thompson or Giuliani by more than Kerry lost to Bush still isn't a good sign, either.

But of course state polls are a bit all over the map right now (either that or it's going to be a really interesting and different election), as evidenced by Clinton's large lead in Arkansas over all GOP contenders.

It is going to be a different election. I think Nevada is likely to vote similar to Colorado and look at the Colorado polls: the exact same pattern there. I think NEvada and Colorado are both likely to be strong for Guliani while Arkansas and Tennessee, for isntance, seems to be going in the opposite direction.

It could be both: Nevada's population is growing by about 5% each year, which means that in 2008 the electorate will have grown by about 10-20% compared with 2004. If about 60-70% of this "new electorate" are conservative immigrants from other US states, this could lead to a significant change in 2008 compared with 2004. Or Nevadans just hate Clinton more than the Top-4 Republicans ...

[WalterMitty]

nevada will go democrat in 08. 

[HardRCafé]

Yes, Dodd will carry it.

[WalterMitty]

Yes, Dodd will carry it.

absolutely. 

[Eraserhead]

We should just hand Dodd the keys to the White House now. The race is as good as over.