Bill Schneider's current projection

[© tweed]

Kerry 300 Bush 238.

Just on CNN about 3 minutes ago.

[Reds4]

I saw it too. Missouri leans to Bush, other than that, no big problems.

[Lunar]

My prediction made a while back is almost the same, with the exception of Missouri and New Mexico.

[MarkDel]

If Kerry were to win, this is the correct map with the exception of Missouri, which is NOT going to Kerry unless there's a national landslide.

[TomatoSoup]

Kerry 300 Bush 238.

Just on CNN about 3 minutes ago.

This map could happen, although Nevada is more likely to go Democrat than Missouri.

[John]

Nice Map

[Floridude]

Sounds good...except Missouri should go to Bush, and Ohio is a literal toss up right now

[millwx]

Sounds good...except Missouri should go to Bush, and Ohio is a literal toss up right now

Agreed.  In fact, I'd say Ohio would lean Bush.  The problem is, flipping Ohio and Missouri would give us the scary 269-269 tie.  Frankly, I seriously "fear" a tie.  In such a case, Bush would get re-election and, in all likelihood, given that small states get extra weight, Kerry would have won the popular vote.  Oh my God, the Democrats would tear down the White House with their bare hands!    (Yes, I'm joking... but only sort of.)

[TomC]

I'd give Missouri and W Va. to Bush and Nevada to Kerry.

[Trilobyte]

I think he gave Missouri to Kerry because of the "Missouri always goes to the winner" thing.

[freedomburns]

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I completely agree.  Nevada is more likely to go Dem than MO.  Other than that, this map is a likely outcome of the election.

freedomburns

[Giant Saguaro]

Well it's not off the wall, I'll say that. MO and OH are certainly hopeful calls, like calling IA, WI, and/or OR for Bush at this stage.

The 269-269 thing is nutty after what happened in 2000, but it's seemingly quite possible. How many ways can one get elected without actually flat-out winning in the traditional sense? I mean to even think about being elected President without having won the EC or the PV will send any number of our friends on the left into probably outright convulsions - again, especially after 2000. I can hear it, an illegitimate President for two terms! The Supreme Court will be shorthanded if anybody retires, I would bet.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

I think if Missouri goes Dem, than so does Florida and Nevada.