MD S PPP ALSOBROOKS+11

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://x.com/umichvoter/status/1805206555429626139

ALSOBROOKS 45
Hogan 34

So much for Hogan

[SnowLabrador]

I don't love seeing Alsobrooks at 45, but I'm inclined to think the undecideds will go her way. I'll admit I was wrong about this race; due to my natural pessimism and my belief in asymmetric polarization, I believed Hogan would win at first. I no longer do. It'll still be a good bit closer than MD-PRES, but Hogan probably won't win.

[GAinDC]

I don't love seeing Alsobrooks at 45, but I'm inclined to think the undecideds will go her way. I'll admit I was wrong about this race; due to my natural pessimism and my belief in asymmetric polarization, I believed Hogan would win at first. I no longer do. It'll still be a good bit closer than MD-PRES, but Hogan probably won't win.

Hogan still has enough residual goodwill from his time as governor to win some moderates that would otherwise vote Dem, but it won't be enough. Maryland is just too blue, and this is a federal race, where Hogan will be running on the same team as Donald Trump.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Lol this race was always Safe D.

[wbrocks67]

Alsobrooks (D) 45%
Hogan (R) 34%
Scott (L) 3%
Wallace (G) 1%
Osuchukwu (I) 1%
Not sure 16%

Alsobrooks (D) 48%
Hogan (R) 40%
Not sure 12%

In a direct matchup, Alsobrooks still up by 8. Third party candidates take more from him in the full ballot

[Mr.Phips]

Hogan may be able to get within 20 in the end.

[Sir Mohamed]

Who would have thought? Senate races are different from gov races.

And Trump's endorsement almost certainly hurt Hogan more than it helped.

[Duke of York]

Maryland is simply too blue at this juncture to elect a Republican to the Senate. Hogan's win as governor was a fluke.

I could see him getting to 44 but not higher than that.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Maryland is simply too blue at this juncture to elect a Republican to the Senate. Hogan's win as governor was a fluke.

I could see him getting to 44 but not higher than that.

Wrong his win as Gov was no fluke he ran with Boyd Rutherford a blk politician , as opposed to now he is losing all the blk vote in Prince City to Alsobrooks

[Duke of York]

Maryland is simply too blue at this juncture to elect a Republican to the Senate. Hogan's win as governor was a fluke.

I could see him getting to 44 but not higher than that.

Wrong his win as Gov was no fluke he ran with Boyd Rutherford a blk politician , as opposed to now he is losing all the blk vote in Prince City to Alsobrooks

His opponent in 2014 was black. The now AG Anthony Brown.

[President Johnson]

Ooch.

Too many undecided, but the margin lines up with my expectations. This seat wasn't going to flip, especially when control of the senate is possibly at stake. Trump's endorsement may have been the final nail in the coffin then. Hogan will certainly outrun Generic Republican by several points, but he faces an insurmountable challenge to get past these 44-45%.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Hogan at 34% is not what a potential upset looks like.

[Agafin]

Hogan at 34% is not what a potential upset looks like.

A republican polling at 34% in Maryland is better than a democrat polling at 45%. We don't know where the undecideds will go.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Hogan at 34% is not what a potential upset looks like.

A republican polling at 34% in Maryland is better than a democrat polling at 45%. We don't know where the undecideds will go.

Can we stop pretending this race isn’t just another Tennessee ‘18 and Montana ‘22? The signs are all there.

And for some reason, I don't think a popular former two-term governor being stuck in the mid-30s is any better.

[Schiff for Senate]

Lol this race was always Safe D.

This. And 11 points is definitely a huge underestimate of Alsobrooks' margin. Expecting something like a 20 point blowout in the end.