What state are you most confident of in terms of the margin?
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  What state are you most confident of in terms of the margin?
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Poll
Question: What state are you most confident of in terms of the margin?
#1
Arizona
#2
Georgia
#3
Michigan
#4
Nevada
#5
North Carolina
#6
Pennsylvania
#7
Wisconsin
#8
Texas
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Partisan results


Author Topic: What state are you most confident of in terms of the margin?  (Read 205 times)
Radicalneo
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« on: May 24, 2024, 12:02:29 PM »

Not the winner, the margin.
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Arizona Iced Tea
Minute Maid Juice
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: May 24, 2024, 02:00:37 PM »

I feel fairly confident Trump wins Texas by 7-10 or in the upper single digits at least as of right now.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #2 on: May 24, 2024, 02:01:45 PM »

I feel fairly confident Trump wins Texas by 7-10 or in the upper single digits at least as of right now.
As a Texan I don't disagree.
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iceman
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« Reply #3 on: May 24, 2024, 02:14:54 PM »

I voted North Carolina, high probability it would be high single digits.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #4 on: May 24, 2024, 02:39:08 PM »

I voted North Carolina, high probability it would be high single digits.

I'm thinking it's closer to Trump+2-3.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #5 on: May 24, 2024, 04:55:11 PM »

Wisconsin: <1% either way.
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EastwoodS
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« Reply #6 on: May 24, 2024, 05:08:36 PM »

I voted North Carolina, high probability it would be high single digits.

I'm thinking it's closer to Trump+2-3.
Literally no
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PeteB
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« Reply #7 on: May 24, 2024, 05:22:33 PM »

Texas for sure (Trump wins by 5-8%). All of the others (including GA and NC) are very much in play.
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Agafin
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« Reply #8 on: May 24, 2024, 05:24:19 PM »

Wisconsin will be close.
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Radicalneo
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« Reply #9 on: May 24, 2024, 08:27:53 PM »

Neither Trump or Biden win Wisconsin by more than 2.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #10 on: May 24, 2024, 08:36:03 PM »

Texas. It'll be Trump by low double digits.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #11 on: May 24, 2024, 10:07:58 PM »

NC will be R+6 to the popular vote regardless.
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