What if Trump is acquitted in his NY trial?

[SnowLabrador]

We're a few days away from a verdict in Trump's New York trial. It seems that everyone's so sure Trump will be convicted, and the main question is whether or not it will affect his poll numbers. Leaving aside the fact that it's absolutely insane that this is treated as just another election issue and shows just how far this country has fallen, there's something else I want to address.

It only takes one juror to vote not to convict for Trump to be acquitted. I think lots of people, both on this forum and off of it, are underestimating the chance that at least one juror blinks. If the "unthinkable" happens and Trump is acquitted, how much does that help his poll numbers? Or does it at all?

[YE]

You’ll find a way to spin it as bad for Biden no matter what happens because you are a troll atp.

[dspNY]

We're a few days away from a verdict in Trump's New York trial. It seems that everyone's so sure Trump will be convicted, and the main question is whether or not it will affect his poll numbers. Leaving aside the fact that it's absolutely insane that this is treated as just another election issue and shows just how far this country has fallen, there's something else I want to address.

It only takes one juror to vote not to convict for Trump to be acquitted. I think lots of people, both on this forum and off of it, are underestimating the chance that at least one juror blinks. If the "unthinkable" happens and Trump is acquitted, how much does that help his poll numbers? Or does it at all?

Marquette tested this very question today. Trump gained a point in their trial question, going to a 3 point lead among LVs

[SnowLabrador]

We're a few days away from a verdict in Trump's New York trial. It seems that everyone's so sure Trump will be convicted, and the main question is whether or not it will affect his poll numbers. Leaving aside the fact that it's absolutely insane that this is treated as just another election issue and shows just how far this country has fallen, there's something else I want to address.

It only takes one juror to vote not to convict for Trump to be acquitted. I think lots of people, both on this forum and off of it, are underestimating the chance that at least one juror blinks. If the "unthinkable" happens and Trump is acquitted, how much does that help his poll numbers? Or does it at all?

Marquette tested this very question today. Trump gained a point in their trial question, going to a 3 point lead among LVs

Yeah, that actually makes sense. I don't know how much better Trump could realistically be doing in polling than he already is, but an acquittal might validate a few more marginal Trump supporters.

[VALibertarian]

An acquittal/hung jury in his felony trial definitely assuages at least some of the tepid republicans who dislike Trump and wins him a few votes. A percentage point or two seems reasonable like the polling says, and in this close of an election it might be enough to put him over the top and stay there.

[Sir Mohamed]

It helps him in the short run, just like conviction would hurt slightly in the short term. Beyond that, it won't have much an effect. Just like conviction wouldn't sink him. As dispicable as latter is.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

[PeteB]

Unlikely he would be acquitted but, if he is, it would be a personal ego boost for Trump.  As for polls, it would be no change, other than encouraging some wavering Republicans to support him.  As I already said, a conviction on the other hand would significantly hurt him with independents and moderate Republicans.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

He has other cases he is has GA and 2 Fed cases it won't mean much

[Duke of York]

He has other cases he is has GA and 2 Fed cases it won't mean much

Those cases won;t happen this year and if he wins which is likely they won't happen at all.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

An acquittal probably doesn't do much. A conviction may help Trump more because that would show how manly he is to his followers. He's already been convicted of sexual abuse and that changed no one's mind.

[Duke of York]

An acquittal probably doesn't do much. A conviction may help Trump more because that would show how manly he is to his followers. He's already been convicted of sexual abuse and that changed no one's mind.

Thats different as it was a civil trial.

[Progressive Pessimist]

It's f***ing over.

It can't happen.

[Duke of York]

It's f***ing over.

It can't happen.

what can't happen?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

You’ll find a way to spin it as bad for Biden no matter what happens because you are a troll atp.

He obviously don't know how behavior works that's why Ds have won since 2018 Rs been on a losing streak

[emailking]

It seems that everyone's so sure Trump will be convicted

If you read the thread that's not true at all.

[Compuzled_One]

It'll massively help him if it happens, since it'll energize his supporters and convince some low info voters he isn't bad if they didn't hear about the E. Jean Carrol case.

[2016]

Honestly I hope he does get acquitted in this case because what Bragg did is a SCAM in my opinion.

There are other cases where Trump should be found guilty.

What Bragg is doing is actually very dangerous lowering the bar that you can get a former President for each and everything you deem worthy to get for.

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Lol

[Progressive Pessimist]

We dodged a thermonuclear warhead.

It's amazing how lucky we got for there to not even be a hung jury or mixed verdict with some counts.