How safe is Nebraska 2?

[°Leprechaun]

If Trump only flips GA, AZ, and NV, he gets to 268.
So, what about NE 2? Could he win that also?

[cherry mandarin]

If Trump only flips GA, AZ, and NV, he gets to 268. So, what about NE 2? Could he win that also?

I think it's far more realistic for him to go after one of the big Midwestern battlegrounds. The newly redrawn NE-02 was already 3 to 5 points more Democratic than each of those states in 2020, and is almost certainly trending D much faster than all of them.

In fact, I'd put more effort into NM, ME-AL, and maybe even MN if I were Team Trump.

[LAKISYLVANIA]

If Trump only flips GA, AZ, and NV, he gets to 268. So, what about NE 2? Could he win that also?

I think it's far more realistic for him to go after one of the big Midwestern battlegrounds. The newly redrawn NE-02 was already 3 to 5 points more Democratic than each of those states in 2020, and is almost certainly trending D much faster than all of them.

In fact, I'd put more effort into NM, ME-AL, and maybe even MN if I were Team Trump.

It's also only one electoral vote

And only leads to a tie in the scenario he wins it but loses the midwestern states. It's possible he wins it but I suspect he wins the 3 midwestern battlegrounds before taking back NE-2.

To the question whether it is safe... obviously no. But if the Biden team and supporters want to be overconfident going in election cycle, be my guest.

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

The only poll, which was a Democratic internal, had Trump up 3.

[xavier110]

If Trump has won NE-02, then it should be obvious that Biden has already lost

[°Leprechaun]

If Trump only flips GA, AZ, and NV, he gets to 268. So, what about NE 2? Could he win that also?

I think it's far more realistic for him to go after one of the big Midwestern battlegrounds. The newly redrawn NE-02 was already 3 to 5 points more Democratic than each of those states in 2020, and is almost certainly trending D much faster than all of them.

In fact, I'd put more effort into NM, ME-AL, and maybe even MN if I were Team Trump.

It's also only one electoral vote

And only leads to a tie in the scenario he wins it but loses the midwestern states. It's possible he wins it but I suspect he wins the 3 midwestern battlegrounds before taking back NE-2.

To the question whether it is safe... obviously no. But if the Biden team and supporters want to be overconfident going in election cycle, be my guest.

The point is if Biden wins the blue wall that one vote is crucial

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

If Trump only flips GA, AZ, and NV, he gets to 268. So, what about NE 2? Could he win that also?

I think it's far more realistic for him to go after one of the big Midwestern battlegrounds. The newly redrawn NE-02 was already 3 to 5 points more Democratic than each of those states in 2020, and is almost certainly trending D much faster than all of them.

In fact, I'd put more effort into NM, ME-AL, and maybe even MN if I were Team Trump.

It's also only one electoral vote

And only leads to a tie in the scenario he wins it but loses the midwestern states. It's possible he wins it but I suspect he wins the 3 midwestern battlegrounds before taking back NE-2.

To the question whether it is safe... obviously no. But if the Biden team and supporters want to be overconfident going in election cycle, be my guest.

The point is if Biden wins the blue wall that one vote is crucial

The 269-269 map with Biden winning the Rust Belt States and Trump winning NE02 is hard to see without massive urban rural depolarization. In this case ME02 is competitive and so is MN.

[wnwnwn]

Surely lean D, but dems should invest in the House race there.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Likely D.

In fact, it might vote the furthest left in the Midwest outside of Illinois.