post 2nd quarter fundraising numbers here

[Mr. Morden]

All the official numbers should be coming out today.  Latest one to add:

link

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[Mr. Morden]

And some more:

http://www.newsone.ca/ottawarecorder/stories/index.php?action=fullnews&id=25850

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[Mr. Morden]

Not all the numbers are in yet, especially for the 2nd/3rd tier candidates, but here's what we have so far (in terms of *primary* $ raised in Q2):

Obama $31 m
Clinton $21 m
Edwards $9 m, but that includes some unspecified amount for the GE
Richardson $7 m
Dodd $3.25 m
Biden $2.4 m
Kucinich $757,000

Giuliani $15 m
Romney $14 m + $6.5 m contributed by himself
McCain $11.2 m, but that includes some unspecified amount for the GE
Paul $2.4 m
F. Thompson campaign insiders claim it'll be "at least $2 million"
Brownback $1.5 m
Huckabee $764,000
T. Thompson $461,000

No word yet from Gravel, Hunter, or Tancredo.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I'm beginning to think Thompson won't have the money to compete. In that case, the nomination is Romney's.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

F. Thompson campaign insiders claim it'll be "at least $2 million"

That is very underwhelming considering he formed his committee with a month to go in Q2.

[Mr. Morden]

Found a great website for fundraising numbers:

http://www.politicalmoneyline.com/

Hunter raised $814,000 and Tancredo raised $1.5 million (putting him ahead of most of the 2nd tier) in the second quarter.  For both Edwards and McCain, about $250,000 of their fundraising for Q2 was for the general election.  I'm too lazy to work out the exact numbers, but I think that puts McCain's *primary money* cash on hand pretty close to zero once you subtract away debt.

Tommy Thompson is officially the big loser in fundraising, as he trails all of his GOP rivals (not counting Gilmore, who's dropped out), and is also behind every one of the Dems except Gravel.

[Mr. Morden]

Fred Thompson did not file his fundraising forms with the FEC.  He's attempting to use a legal loophole to avoid doing so, though we may get something from his campaign on July 31st:

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/Story?id=3379643&page=3

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More from Marc Ambinder:

http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2007/07/fred_thompsons_disclosure_conu.php

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[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Funny, Fred Thompson has been talking a lot about how he's running.

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http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2007/7/16/84635/8451

[Mr. Morden]

And finally, the numbers for Gravel:

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2007/07/16/politics/purehorserace/main3062396.shtml

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Only $30,000 left in the bank?  He shouldn't have blown all that money on the "fire" ad.

[StateBoiler]

The New York Times put together a very nice interactive map that shows the money numbers for every presidential candidate that's been in the debates except Gravel and for some reason Tancredo.

It shows the geographic range of each candidate's money as well, organized into regions by the zipcode.

http://www.nytimes.com/ref/us/politics/2008_EG_FINANCES.html

A couple points that jumped out.

-A LOT of Hillary's money came in the last week of each quarter.
-Obama's support is more widespread than Hillary's, as most of his dots get bigger except for the big cities.
-Romney got $3.83 million from Utah alone, it's even more money than he raised in all of Massachusetts or NYC, Long Island, and North Jersey combined. The next closest candidate in Utah is John McCain at $120k.
-Better than a third of Richardson's $12 million was from New Mexico.
-Dodd has $12 million raised, but very little of it was outside the Northeast and the California coast.
-Paul's support is small but widespread as lots of small equal-sized dots everywhere, which is expected I guess. Brownback's as well.
-Hunter does not exist outside of SoCal.
-Huckabee does not exist outside of Arkansas, east Texas, Louisiana, and a couple of other southern states.
-Kucinich is a lower-scale version of Paul's fundraising.
-Tommy Thompson should drop out. Half his money was from Wisconsin alone.
-It's easy to see why Gilmore got out.

[YRABNNRM]

Cool map. Thanks for the link.

[Verily]

Also interesting is that the vast majority of Clinton's money (65%) came from individuals who maxed out their donation limit. Giuliani (62%) has the same problem. No one else had more than 50% from donors who maxed out donations.

Clinton: 65%
Giuliani: 62%
Richardson: 47%
McCain: 46%
Romney: 43%
Obama: 40%
Edwards: 35%

Edwards and Romney both had a lot of mid-range donors. Obama had by far the most small-size donors and was the only candidate to come close to raising more from small-size donors than mid-size donors. Richardson and McCain had fairly equal numbers of donors from all three groups.

[Mr. Morden]

More on Fred Thompson's fundraising disclosure: MSNBC's "First Read" confirms that Thompson *will* file that IRS form I mentioned by the end of July, with the more detailed FEC report to follow in October:

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2007/07/17/273761.aspx

It's still unclear to me whether that IRS form is actually something that has to be made public, or if he can just file it with the IRS, and it remains confidential.  Will we actually know anything definitive about Thompson's fundraising before October?

They also say that his formal announcement of candidacy "could slip into early September".

[Mr. Morden]

An excellent graphic from the NY Times that focuses on expenditures rather than $ raised:

link

In terms of total expenditures for the year (not just Q2), the top spenders are:

Romney $32.3 m
McCain $23.2 m
Obama $22.7 m
Clinton $17.9 m
Giuliani $17.3 m
Edwards $9.8 m
Richardson $6.2 m
Dodd $5.7 m
Biden $3.7 m
Brownback $2.9 m
Tancredo $2.2 m
Hunter 1.1 m
everyone else less than $1 million

There's also a map of the campaign offices for the top three candidates from each party.  The Dems seem to have many more campaign offices in IA and NH, whereas the Republicans just have one or two for each state.  SC is the only other state where all six have at least one campaign office.  All the Dems have offices in NV, but none of the Republicans do.  Other common places for campaign offices are NYC, Los Angeles, Florida, and Illinois.  Neither Giuliani nor Romney has an office in DC.

[StateBoiler]

An excellent graphic from the NY Times that focuses on expenditures rather than $ raised:

link

In terms of total expenditures for the year (not just Q2), the top spenders are:

Romney $32.3 m
McCain $23.2 m
Obama $22.7 m
Clinton $17.9 m
Giuliani $17.3 m
Edwards $9.8 m
Richardson $6.2 m
Dodd $5.7 m
Biden $3.7 m
Brownback $2.9 m
Tancredo $2.2 m
Hunter 1.1 m
everyone else less than $1 million

There's also a map of the campaign offices for the top three candidates from each party.  The Dems seem to have many more campaign offices in IA and NH, whereas the Republicans just have one or two for each state.  SC is the only other state where all six have at least one campaign office.  All the Dems have offices in NV, but none of the Republicans do.  Other common places for campaign offices are NYC, Los Angeles, Florida, and Illinois.  Neither Giuliani nor Romney has an office in DC.

So the top two fundraisers are Democrats, but the top two spenders six months before a primary are Republicans.

[Mr. Morden]

Well it makes sense that Romney would have to spend more, since he was starting from a position in which he wasn't as well known as his rivals.  Also, he can afford to tap his huge personal fortune to get more $ if he needs to.  Something that his rivals can't do, since they're not nearly as rich.  But still, $32 million is an unbelievable amount of money to be spending this early.  I'm sure it must be a record.

In McCain's case though, I have no idea what his campaign was thinking in spending all that money.  What's really remarkable is that he spent all that money without even airing any ads!