YouGov/Economist: Trump +1

[wbrocks67]

Trump 42%
Biden 41%
RFK 3%
Stein 1%
West 1%
Other 1%
I would not vote 1%
Not sure 8%

https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_nURRSN3.pdf

Tie last week, similar to the MC tracking poll where it keeps oscillating between Biden +1 - Trump +1

[Skill and Chance]

State polls are Republican 2008 while national polls are nearly tied averaging to a small Trump lead.  Eerily reminiscent of 2016 when Clinton had modest national leads but really favorable state polls, except in reverse.

[Matty]

State polls are Republican 2008 while national polls are nearly tied averaging to a small Trump lead.  Eerily reminiscent of 2016 when Clinton had modest national leads but really favorable state polls, except in reverse.

A tied to T+1 national race would look like reverse 2008 in certain swing states

[Skill and Chance]

State polls are Republican 2008 while national polls are nearly tied averaging to a small Trump lead.  Eerily reminiscent of 2016 when Clinton had modest national leads but really favorable state polls, except in reverse.

A tied to T+1 national race would look like reverse 2008 in certain swing states

It wouldn't if NY was actually Trump +10ish.

[Progressive Pessimist]

RFK at only 3%, and the other third party numbers, seem reasonable at least.