Siena/New York Times just validated this Georgia Poll that everyone questioned. Siena also has Trump up 9 in the Peach State.
there have been 3 polls in the last week that showed Trump +9-10 lead which the red avbies dismissed as outliers.
I agree this is very consistent and Georgia likely isn't a swing state this election. But why? What explains this? It very much came out of the blue. Demographic trends looked better for Dems in Georgia than just about anywhere else in the country back in 2020!
Indiana 2008-2012 redux?
Nope. The 2010 midterms in Indiana had federal races that foreshadowed its shift back to the right -- like the historically competitive 8th district going to the GOP by 20 points and not looking back.
In 2022, Warnock build on Biden's gains in Atlanta while holding steady elsewhere. If Trump wins big in GA this year, it will probably just be about Biden.
