Coefficient: Trump +4

[Matty]

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1788651583724503499

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Senator Oz and governor Lake agree!!! (This poll also had Biden getting like 40% in the NH primary iirc)

[Skill and Chance]

What's the shift from their last poll?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

These are one of the polls that has an R H effect and it's MOE anyways

[Redban]

Senator Oz and governor Lake agree!!! (This poll also had Biden getting like 40% in the NH primary iirc)

Could you point me to a pollster that has never been wrong before

[GeorgiaModerate]

What's the shift from their last poll?

I don't see a previous GE poll from them in 538's database.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

What's the shift from their last poll?

I don't see a previous GE poll from them in 538's database.

On individual states Marist was right on the money having Kelly, CCM and Fetterman win last time and Coefficient and Inside Advantage had them losing

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Senator Oz and governor Lake agree!!! (This poll also had Biden getting like 40% in the NH primary iirc)

Could you point me to a pollster that has never wrong before

Oh yeah All polls have had errors but my point was that this one just genuinely has a bad track record. Like it’s not like they missed the mark once or twice they are just genuinely a bad poll.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Senator Oz and governor Lake agree!!! (This poll also had Biden getting like 40% in the NH primary iirc)

Could you point me to a pollster that has never wrong before

Oh yeah All polls have had errors but my point was that this one just genuinely has a bad track record. Like it’s not like they missed the mark once or twice they are just genuinely a bad poll.

538 has them at 237th in their ratings, with a score of 1.1 out of a possible 3.0.

[wbrocks67]

Senator Oz and governor Lake agree!!! (This poll also had Biden getting like 40% in the NH primary iirc)

Could you point me to a pollster that has never wrong before

co/efficient has a horrific track record, not just in 2022 but just in general. Please stop trying to defend awful pollsters.

[Redban]

co/efficient has a horrific track record, not just in 2022 but just in general. Please stop trying to defend awful pollsters.

They don't have a long track record in the first place. I don't think they did polls before 2022. So "horrific track record, not just in 2022 but just in general"  -- what other track record exists pre-2022? 538 shows only 20 polls for them. In 2020, they did some polls in Kansas for a super-PAC, and they did private polls for campaigns that hired them. But I don't see much else ... That a pollster is new doesn't mean they're unreliable

We all know you wouldn't have questioned them if they showed Biden +4. You do this stuff in every thread. In your mind, polls must either show Biden ahead or be wrong

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

co/efficient has a horrific track record, not just in 2022 but just in general. Please stop trying to defend awful pollsters.

They don't have a long track record in the first place. I don't think they did polls before 2022. So "horrific track record, not just in 2022 but just in general"  -- what other track record exists pre-2022? 538 shows only 20 polls for them. In 2020, they did some polls in Kansas for a super-PAC, and they did private polls for campaigns that hired them. But I don't see much else ... That a pollster is new doesn't mean they're unreliable

We all know you wouldn't have questioned them if they showed Biden +4. You do this stuff in every thread. In your mind, polls must either show Biden ahead or be wrong

Marist contradicted Coefficient polls and you get nothing from Trump winning Spk Jeffries will give you a stimulus check, Spk Johnson just give more tax cuts to oil companies

OSR had PA going Republican because he didn't go by Marist he went by Coefficient which had Oz in the lead

All the Rs had PA going to OZ due to Fetterman debate performance and he won

[wbrocks67]

co/efficient has a horrific track record, not just in 2022 but just in general. Please stop trying to defend awful pollsters.

They don't have a long track record in the first place. I don't think they did polls before 2022. So "horrific track record, not just in 2022 but just in general"  -- what other track record exists pre-2022? 538 shows only 20 polls for them. In 2020, they did some polls in Kansas for a super-PAC, and they did private polls for campaigns that hired them. But I don't see much else ... That a pollster is new doesn't mean they're unreliable

We all know you wouldn't have questioned them if they showed Biden +4. You do this stuff in every thread. In your mind, polls must either show Biden ahead or be wrong

Yes, 2023 and 2024 exist. They did polls in NH that were also very off this year. Not sure why you're so obsessed with 2022.

And no, much like Zogby and other polling outfits, I could care less what the result is. Trash is trash.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Didn't they have Bolduc leading Hassan too?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's in the MOE anyways

[GoTfan]

co/efficient has a horrific track record, not just in 2022 but just in general. Please stop trying to defend awful pollsters.

They don't have a long track record in the first place. I don't think they did polls before 2022. So "horrific track record, not just in 2022 but just in general"  -- what other track record exists pre-2022? 538 shows only 20 polls for them. In 2020, they did some polls in Kansas for a super-PAC, and they did private polls for campaigns that hired them. But I don't see much else ... That a pollster is new doesn't mean they're unreliable

We all know you wouldn't have questioned them if they showed Biden +4. You do this stuff in every thread. In your mind, polls must either show Biden ahead or be wrong

That's even more of a reason not to take them seriously. I've been skeptical about Biden's chances all along, but come on.