April 2024, who wins each competitive senate race?
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  April 2024, who wins each competitive senate race?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Who wins each competitive senate race?
#1
AZ: Gallego		  
#2
AZ: Lake		  
#3
FL: Scott		  
#4
FL: Mucarsel-Powell		  
#5
MI: Slotkin		  
#6
MI: Rogers		  
#7
MT: Tester		  
#8
MT: Sheehy		  
#9
NV: Rosen		  
#10
NV: Brown		  
#11
OH: Brown		  
#12
OH: Moreno		  
#13
PA: Casey		  
#14
PA: McCormick		  
#15
TX: Cruz		  
#16
TX: Allred		  
#17
WI: Baldwin		  
#18
WI: Hovde		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 39

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Author Topic: April 2024, who wins each competitive senate race?  (Read 472 times)
Tekken_Guy
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« on: April 18, 2024, 03:03:14 PM »
Who wins each battleground senate race as of today?
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xavier110
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« Reply #1 on: April 18, 2024, 03:17:50 PM »
All the incumbents except Brown win. Gallego takes AZ. After Ohio the next likeliest to fall is NV.
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Electric Circus
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« Reply #2 on: April 18, 2024, 09:38:36 PM »
AZ: Gallego    
FL: Scott    
MI: Rogers         
MT: Tester    
NV: Brown    
OH: Moreno
PA: Casey         
TX: Cruz         
WI: Baldwin    
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #3 on: April 18, 2024, 09:42:39 PM »
Quote from: Electric Circus on April 18, 2024, 09:38:36 PM
AZ: Gallego    
FL: Scott    
MI: Rogers         
MT: Tester    
NV: Brown    
OH: Moreno
PA: Casey         
TX: Cruz         
WI: Baldwin    



Slotkin has been ahead in every poll
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Electric Circus
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« Reply #4 on: April 18, 2024, 10:03:58 PM »

Ahead, and well below 50% with weak margins. It will be a weak read until the Republican primary resolves itself. Raising money like a winner isn't everything.

She's been clumsy in her attempts to nudge her primary opponents aside, which isn't a good sign as far as organization is concerned. A campaign with so many advantages should have more confidence.
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Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver
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« Reply #5 on: April 19, 2024, 05:29:30 AM »
All of these have clear favorites IMO, and the results of this poll agree.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #6 on: April 20, 2024, 12:10:04 PM »
Gallego, Scott, Slotkin, Tester, Rosen, Brown, Casey, Cruz, and Baldwin

GOP only picks-up WV for a 50/50 Senate    
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #7 on: April 20, 2024, 12:56:20 PM »
As of right now, I genuinely believe we're heading towards the "boring" outcome where GOP flips WV, MT, and OH and nothing else for a 52R-48D senate.

There is still enough wiggle room such that I could see Rs potentially winning MI or Ds holding MT but imo those aren't the median outcomes right now.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #8 on: April 20, 2024, 01:07:27 PM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on April 20, 2024, 12:56:20 PM
As of right now, I genuinely believe we're heading towards the "boring" outcome where GOP flips WV, MT, and OH and nothing else for a 52R-48D senate.

There is still enough wiggle room such that I could see Rs potentially winning MI or Ds holding MT but imo those aren't the median outcomes right now.

I think Nevada is the GOP’s best flip opportunity outside their main three. And I feel that Brown is in a somewhat better position than Tester.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #9 on: April 20, 2024, 02:41:24 PM »
I'm really uncertain about Montana and Ohio. Probably they will flip. Otherwise, none of these seats will flip between the parties (or only Arizona, if we don't count Sinema as a Democrat).

Florida doesn't even belong on the list, as the race is not competitive.
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Dave Hedgehog
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« Reply #10 on: April 20, 2024, 04:21:18 PM »
A day and a half ago Brown was getting royally stuffed in this poll and now he's pulled out a lead (18-15 right now), didn't expect that. Not at all reflected in the comments however. Also that Casey lead  Surprise
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Arizona Iced Tea
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« Reply #11 on: April 20, 2024, 09:45:37 PM »
Quote from: Dave Hedgehog on April 20, 2024, 04:21:18 PM
A day and a half ago Brown was getting royally stuffed in this poll and now he's pulled out a lead (18-15 right now), didn't expect that. Not at all reflected in the comments however. Also that Casey lead  Surprise
I think Casey will win, but I voted for McCormick here to stop the sweep Cool
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