NC (Quinnipiac): Trump +2

[wbrocks67]

Trump (R) 48%
Biden (D) 46%

Trump (R) 41%
Biden (D) 38%
RFK Jr. (I) 12%
West (I) 3%
Stein (G) 3%

https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3895

[Matty]

This is in line with their recent national poll

[Lambsbread]

Yep, sounds about right.

[wbrocks67]

West seems likely to definitely not be on the ballot here however I believe?

[2016]

This is in line with their recent national poll

Keep in mind that Q-Pac is the most friendly Biden Pollster in the entire Country and they botched up everything imaginable in 2016, 2018, 2020 and 2022.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Same poll has Stein leading the governor's race 52-44, which seems reasonable compared to the presidential topline.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is in line with their recent national poll

It's only two pts Vaccinated Bear and their natl polls had Biden +3

[heatcharger]

This is in line with their recent national poll

It's only two pts Vaccinated Bear and their natl polls had Biden +3

Lol, Rassy had TRUMP +8

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is in line with their recent national poll

It's only two pts Vaccinated Bear and their natl polls had Biden +3

Lol, Rassy had TRUMP +8

Biden isnt down by 8

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Trump is favored in NC but he hasn't locked it down yet.

[President Johnson]

Definitely winnable for Biden and his campaign rightfully goes all in here. I think Trump is slightly favored at the moment, but far from certain to keep it in November.

[2016]

Definitely winnable for Biden and his campaign rightfully goes all in here. I think Trump is slightly favored at the moment, but far from certain to keep it in November.

If Quinnipiac can't even find a Biden lead in North Carolina that's very problematic for the President especially when you have the RNC Chair Whatley from NC and Lara Trump is from NC as well.

North Carolina along with Florida is the hardest State to get for Biden.

Since the Start of the year 2024 Pres Biden has not led a NC Poll
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/north-carolina/
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/north-carolina/trump-vs-biden

The last NC Poll that had Biden ahead was in March 2023, over a year ago. There is a reason why Inside Elections/Cook/Sabato have NC as Lean R.

[BlueSwan]

I don't believe that NC is truly in play unless it is somehow a Biden landslide. Biden should focus on PA, MI and WI (and possibly AZ given the abortion ruling). This is the path of least resistance.

[President Johnson]

I don't believe that NC is truly in play unless it is somehow a Biden landslide. Biden should focus on PA, MI and WI (and possibly AZ given the abortion ruling). This is the path of least resistance.

Biden came within one percent the last time, and it was close in every election since 2008. Of course the state is in play.

[wbrocks67]

This is in line with their recent national poll

Keep in mind that Q-Pac is the most friendly Biden Pollster in the entire Country and they botched up everything imaginable in 2016, 2018, 2020 and 2022.

We have no idea where Q-pac stands. They were way too pro-Biden and then way too pro-GOP last cycle/into 2023.

I don't want to make of them providing some of the most "normal" results of the cycle consistently in the last 9 months but it sure is interesting nonetheless.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

With Stein winning the Gov race NC we will win NC

[ajc0918]

If Trump is spending to defend NC, he is losing.

[Progressive Pessimist]

North Carolina isn't better than tilt R for Trump.

[Yelnoc]

6% combined for West and Stein is crazy.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

It will be within 1-1.5% like it usually is, but I think Trump wins it. It all depends on whether the urban/suburban areas have trended left more than rural NC has trended right.

[Eraserhead]

6% combined for West and Stein is crazy.

Not to mention double that for the other guy. I get people hate Biden and Trump but give me a break. 

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We don't need NC it's only wave insurance due to the Gov race and Cooper won without Biden carrying NC and I doubt Stein is 8 pts ahead more like 4 because that's how much Cooper won last time

[BlueSwan]

I don't believe that NC is truly in play unless it is somehow a Biden landslide. Biden should focus on PA, MI and WI (and possibly AZ given the abortion ruling). This is the path of least resistance.

Biden came within one percent the last time, and it was close in every election since 2008. Of course the state is in play.

The things is that NC has consistently been voting around 6 points to the right of the nation in every presidential election since 2008. That leads me to the idea that Biden likely only wins NC in a decisive overall win. It would be surprising if NC was anywhere near being the tipping point state.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden is gonna win NC

[super6646]

North Carolina is like Virginia for the dems in the 1990s on the presidential front. Tempting target, and definitely should be contested, but shouldn’t be the main priority unless Biden really begins to stretch this race out.