How big a win will the GOP win in Utah's Governors race

[Samof94]

Given the rightward tilt of the state outside of SLC and even in the suburbs of SLC, how big will the Gov. race go for the GOP?

[Vice President Christian Man]

I think it's a given that Cox will outpace Trump, but I think that he'll get at least 60, possibly 70% of the vote. He's been a largely moderate and inoffensive governor who I believe won't have a problem winning back the Never-Trumpers around SLC.

[Dave Hedgehog]

Yeah 30% is very easy to see and I reckon it'll be closer to 40% in the end. The state may have tilted a bit to the left in the Trump era but Democrats just don't seem to have any discernable bench here, and I have a feeling the presidential results will snap back in favor of R's once the GOP stops nominating Trump or Trumpy candidates.

[Tekken_Guy]

Yeah 30% is very easy to see and I reckon it'll be closer to 40% in the end. The state may have tilted a bit to the left in the Trump era but Democrats just don't seem to have any discernable bench here, and I have a feeling the presidential results will snap back in favor of R's once the GOP stops nominating Trump or Trumpy candidates.

Ben McAdams?

[Schiff for Senate]

30ish points, maybe?

[Utah Neolib]

20-25. Cox has lost some of his ‘shine’ from 2020 and I suspect downballot lag in Utah is slowly ending. He’s signed into law basically every culture war insanity cooked up by the state legislature. Out of the three, Trump will perform worse than Cox or Curtis but I suspect it’s actually Curtis who performs the best. The Democrat isn’t exactly the best candidate but he was the State House Minority Leader for 8 years and is better than the random nobodies that have been ran since 2008. Cox will win the primary with ease, Lyman is a complete joke even in southern Utah.