NBC's Mark Murray: Trump in decent shape in the Electoral College

[2016]

https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/1776948223095058637

With Quotes from NBC Pollster Bill McInturff (Public Opinion Strategies) who says quote "Mr Biden won CA by 5M Votes & NY by 2M Votes and the Race was essentially TIED if you put all the other 48 States together".

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The MI, PA polls came out disputing the WSJ stop worrying it's 6 months till EDAY

[°Leprechaun]

The MI, PA polls came out disputing the WSJ stop worrying it's 6 months till EDAY

MI, PA and WI is all Biden needs. This race is far from being over and it's too soon to know the results this early

[Progressive Pessimist]

The Electoral College almost always favors Republicans given the vote distribution of their white, lesser educated base.

[ProgressiveModerate]

The Electoral College almost always favors Republicans given the vote distribution of their white, lesser educated base.

Don't think this is inherently true. The reason it current favors Rs is because a bunch of large populated states happen to vote narrowly to the right of the nation (TX, FL, MI, GA, NC, PA). That could easily change in future cycles without dramatic re-alignment.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

2016 threaf

[Minnesota Mike]

The Electoral College almost always favors Republicans given the vote distribution of their white, lesser educated base.

Not true. The tipping point state was left of the nation as a whole in  2004, 2008 & 2012.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tipping-point_state

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

The Electoral College almost always favors Republicans given the vote distribution of their white, lesser educated base.

Not true. The tipping point state was left of the nation as a whole in  2004, 2008 & 2012.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tipping-point_state

That was back when WWC was aligned with Democrats. Democrats had structural advantage in Senate and EC. Now they have huge disadvantage in both because states with big WWC population decide the election.

[Minnesota Mike]

The Electoral College almost always favors Republicans given the vote distribution of their white, lesser educated base.

Not true. The tipping point state was left of the nation as a whole in  2004, 2008 & 2012.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tipping-point_state

That was back when WWC was aligned with Democrats. Democrats had structural advantage in Senate and EC. Now they have huge disadvantage in both because states with big WWC population decide the election.

We shall see. My very early view is the tipping point of this election is going to be very close to the popular vote. Given population and political trends I can see Dem vote margins decreasing in CA and NY while increasing in FL. I also think the Blue Wall states will be closer to the national average than they were in 2020. Just a prediction, time will tell.

[emailking]

yeah it wasn't expected the EC would favor Dems in 2004 after 2000, or that it would favor Republicans in 2016 after the last 3 elections. It could flip again unexpectedly.

[certified hummus supporter 🇵🇸🤝🇺🇸🤝🇺🇦]

Let's see what DaleCooper has to say about that