MI Independent Centre: Biden +3
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  MI Independent Centre: Biden +3		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: MI Independent Centre: Biden +3  (Read 1002 times)
MR DARK BRANDON
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« on: April 06, 2024, 09:05:06 PM »
https://independentcenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Independent-Center-2024-Target-State-Survey-of-Registered-Voters-Michigan-Toplines.pdf

Biden - 42
Trump - 39
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #1 on: April 06, 2024, 09:56:10 PM »
Biden is gonna win MI so much for WSJ and Big Data
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Redban
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« Reply #2 on: April 06, 2024, 10:08:54 PM »
New pollster?

You should clarify in OP that the Biden +3 is with a generic independent 3rd party included; it’s not a straight head to head. It’s been said on here many times that generic third party option in polls can be shaky because people will visualize their perfect candidate

Biden 42
Trump 39
Generic 3rd party / Indy 14%

Also, Kennedy has the signatures, and Green Party, I believe, has ballot access in MI. So polls should include both

Their 2020 recall is Biden +6
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #3 on: April 06, 2024, 10:10:03 PM »
This is my exact prediction for the margin.

However, this poll has a few too many undecideds.
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Redban
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« Reply #4 on: April 06, 2024, 10:11:36 PM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on April 06, 2024, 10:10:03 PM
This is my exact prediction for the margin.

However, this poll has a few too many undecideds.

6% undecideds is now too much. Good to know
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Malarkey Decider
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« Reply #5 on: April 06, 2024, 10:14:47 PM »

They have lots of different surveys on their website.

The only past election poll I could find of theirs was Trump +5 nationally in January. (LINK)
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MR DARK BRANDON
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« Reply #6 on: April 06, 2024, 10:27:22 PM »
Quote from: Malarkey Decider on April 06, 2024, 10:14:47 PM

They have lots of different surveys on their website.

The only past election poll I could find of theirs was Trump +5 nationally in January. (LINK)

I think they’re from Bullfinch as that poll was reported as such

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=578637.0

Thread title should probably be changed.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: April 06, 2024, 10:41:39 PM »
This is the only MI polls that makes sense all the others were silly like CNN Sars had Trump +8
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #8 on: April 06, 2024, 11:31:56 PM »
Wow! Great result.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #9 on: April 07, 2024, 03:04:45 AM »
Quote from: Redban on April 06, 2024, 10:11:36 PM
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on April 06, 2024, 10:10:03 PM
This is my exact prediction for the margin.

However, this poll has a few too many undecideds.

6% undecideds is now too much. Good to know

Both Trump and Biden are going to get at least 47%. Kennedy will not get close to 14%.
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Dave Hedgehog
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« Reply #10 on: April 07, 2024, 03:42:01 AM »
First time I’ve seen Biden leading an MI poll in quite some time. Perhaps the much-needed JOEMENTUM is materializing at last!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #11 on: April 07, 2024, 06:18:04 AM »
The other polls like CNN were way off noway Trump wasnt leading by 6 pts in MI
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #12 on: April 07, 2024, 10:16:53 AM »
He can't help it he listens to Joe Rogan and believes in RFK gonna split the vote to enable Trump to win, he is a Joe Rogan garbage fan, Redban is a DJ on Joe Rogan
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #13 on: April 07, 2024, 10:26:19 AM »
All the polls that have Trump ahead has Biden at 39 Approval and the polls that have Biden ahead has 45 except Rassy Trump isn't leading by 5 anyways all the Trump leads are MOE +/-5 percent
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #14 on: April 07, 2024, 10:31:19 AM »
He's gonna eat crow when Biden wins again
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President Johnson
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« Reply #15 on: April 07, 2024, 11:23:02 AM »

Well, I would necessarily say so. 42-39% is pretty much worthless. Michigan continues to produce weird polling results.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #16 on: April 07, 2024, 11:34:01 AM »
Quote from: President Johnson on April 07, 2024, 11:23:02 AM

Well, I would necessarily say so. 42-39% is pretty much worthless. Michigan continues to produce weird polling results.

The CNN poll that had Trump up 6 was silliest
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dspNY
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« Reply #17 on: April 07, 2024, 11:54:16 AM »
Throw it in the average. I'll need other polling that shows Biden in the lead in Michigan to feel more confident though. I could see something like Biden and Trump getting 93% of the total vote in Michigan with third parties getting 7%
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emailking
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« Reply #18 on: April 07, 2024, 06:40:17 PM »
Glad to see Biden is now leading in Michigan! It's going to be an important state.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #19 on: April 08, 2024, 01:35:38 AM »
Quote from: President Johnson on April 07, 2024, 11:23:02 AM

Well, I would necessarily say so. 42-39% is pretty much worthless. Michigan continues to produce weird polling results.

Yup, MI continues to be MI.
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #20 on: April 08, 2024, 08:59:20 AM »
The margin is realistic. Nobody is winning MI by more than this
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