Describe the average Biden/Lake 2024 AZ voter?

[Cyrusman]

Who will be the average AZ voter who votes Biden while voting for Lake in the senate race?

[Holmes]

An idiot who wants a check on Biden in the Senate.

[TML]

Someone who has personal reasons to dislike Trump and/or Gallego.

[xavier110]

They essentially don’t exist.

But if we’re going to entertain this exercise, I think there were a handful of precincts where Biden outperformed Kelly in 2020, and from what I remember, they were in wealthy historically GOP parts of Phoenix’s surrounding areas. So I’m guessing someone who hates Trump, is basically voting D at the federal level for the first time (or one of the first times in their life), and can only live with the Biden vote by voting for a check on him in the Senate/House. There seemed to be a few people who did this in 2020.

So I’d say they’re a possible Biden/Lake/Schweikert voter. However, Lake is so revolting to this crowd - whoever is so repulsed by Trump is no fan of Lake - that I almost think it’s as likely you’d see Biden/undervote or Gallego/Schweikert ballot among this type of voter. McSally at least was a fairly mainstream R masquerading as a Trumper.

The majority of these moderate McCainites, though, are now full-fledged Ds at the federal level who reflexively vote Democrat and will entertain the occasional R not aligned at the hip with Trump.

[wnwnwn]

A McCain fan that thinks Gallego is too much of a progressive.

[Ferguson97]

Kate Gallego

[ProgressiveModerate]

Kate Gallego

Funny, but in reality they seem on pretty good terms; they’ve gone out of their way to endorse eachother in the past and have been willing to do other things to support eachothers campaigns

[Schiff for Senate]

Lost their job during COVID, which they blamed on Trump, and later perceived that job as being "taken" by Mexicans, creating a xenophobia specifically tailored toward Mexican/Hispanic Americans.

Hence they'd resent both Trump and Gallego, and vote for their respective opponents.

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

Sinema (jk)