Axios: Trump's RNC struggles in swing states as Biden's team grows

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/SophiaCai99/status/1773336391834890331

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

That's why the R polls including RFK is silly he isn't on the ballot in these swing states, most of the MC polls that are entered in the Database have RFK mostly entered in Dec when Biden had low Approvals

[ajc0918]

We're setting the stage for a Biden blowout this November.

Republicans are simply not doing what they need to do to win in November.

[Sir Mohamed]

We're setting the stage for a Biden blowout this November.

Republicans are simply not doing what they need to do to win in November.

I'd rather be careful with such predictions, even if polls are flawed or it's just too early. I agree that under normal circumstances this would be a blowout. Not only is Biden having a huge cash advantage and running a better campaign apparatus, he's also running on a strong economy, no direct US involvement in war, dropping crime and major domestic accomplishments and against a dude with 90 felony charges that already lost before.

However, we live in times of hyper partisanship and polarization. And the problem is just the MAGA cult, which is maybe a third of the electorate, it's also low propsenity "normies" beleiving everything is going to hell and Trump will somehow make higher prices disappear. The MSM works overtime to feed this narrative as they have their own, economically driven agenda.

[Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin]

I'm sure stacking the RNC with election-deniers and moving its finance arm to Palm Beach will really help with this.

/s

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We're setting the stage for a Biden blowout this November.

Republicans are simply not doing what they need to do to win in November.

I'd rather be careful with such predictions, even if polls are flawed or it's just too early. I agree that under normal circumstances this would be a blowout. Not only is Biden having a huge cash advantage and running a better campaign apparatus, he's also running on a strong economy, no direct US involvement in war, dropping crime and major domestic accomplishments and against a dude with 90 felony charges that already lost before.

However, we live in times of hyper partisanship and polarization. And the problem is just the MAGA cult, which is maybe a third of the electorate, it's also low propsenity "normies" beleiving everything is going to hell and Trump will somehow make higher prices disappear. The MSM works overtime to feed this narrative as they have their own, economically driven agenda.

It's only inflation going on with Biden Approval it's not high unemployment when Trump had 10 percent in 20, and SSA in April we should find out by April 1st are community

[Redban]

End of article:

"Reality check: Trump, like Obama, has a loyal and passionate following and has shown an ability to attract large numbers of unpaid volunteers.

Trump's operations this cycle in the early primary states of Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina — which relied heavily on local volunteers to turn out voters — helped shut down his GOP competition."

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

End of article:

"Reality check: Trump, like Obama, has a loyal and passionate following and has shown an ability to attract large numbers of unpaid volunteers.

Trump's operations this cycle in the early primary states of Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina — which relied heavily on local volunteers to turn out voters — helped shut down his GOP competition."

Obama didn't have J6

[DrScholl]

End of article:

"Reality check: Trump, like Obama, has a loyal and passionate following and has shown an ability to attract large numbers of unpaid volunteers.

Trump's operations this cycle in the early primary states of Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina — which relied heavily on local volunteers to turn out voters — helped shut down his GOP competition."

Trump is not Obama. It still takes money to mobilize volunteers because you need field offices to conduct operations out of. That said you can't totally rely on volunteers.

[Progressive Pessimist]

This is why the 2022 midterms were so enlightening for me. Democrats rebounded bigly in major swing states that will have implications for this year's elections.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Redban and Riverwalk points out that it's inflation but it's clearly not as bad as 20 when Trump lost with high unemployment that's why we replicated the blue wall in 22 and RFK isn't getting 15 in polls and PA goes 9 pts to Trump like MC polls had it in Dec, RFK is gonna get 3 percent and the polls are gonna be close in MI, PA and WI, slight D lean

[Rat]

We could've had Haley as the nominee and a party focused on beating Biden, and would be looking at a landslide Republican win and trifecta. Instead, we have Trump raiding the RNC to pay his legal bills and destroying the party infrastructure and purging personnel just to coddle his ego regarding the 2020 election. The Trump and the GOP keep shooting themselves in the foot, and it is probably going to cost the party again.

Good job, MAGA. Feels great to be "winning".

[heatcharger]

We could've had Haley as the nominee and a party focused on beating Biden, and would be looking at a landslide Republican win and trifecta. Instead, we have Trump raiding the RNC to pay his legal bills and destroying the party infrastructure and purging personnel just to coddle his ego regarding the 2020 election. The Trump and the GOP keep shooting themselves in the foot, and it is probably going to cost the party again.

Good job, MAGA. Feels great to be "winning".

Good. Nobody wants that.

[Rat]

We could've had Haley as the nominee and a party focused on beating Biden, and would be looking at a landslide Republican win and trifecta. Instead, we have Trump raiding the RNC to pay his legal bills and destroying the party infrastructure and purging personnel just to coddle his ego regarding the 2020 election. The Trump and the GOP keep shooting themselves in the foot, and it is probably going to cost the party again.

Good job, MAGA. Feels great to be "winning".

Good. Nobody wants that.

Speak for yourself.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Easiest way for Republicans lose this election is acting like they have it in the bag already.

[ultraviolet]

We could've had Haley as the nominee and a party focused on beating Biden, and would be looking at a landslide Republican win and trifecta. Instead, we have Trump raiding the RNC to pay his legal bills and destroying the party infrastructure and purging personnel just to coddle his ego regarding the 2020 election. The Trump and the GOP keep shooting themselves in the foot, and it is probably going to cost the party again.

Good job, MAGA. Feels great to be "winning".

Good. Nobody wants that.

Why would you possibly not want that?

[Pres Mike]

We could've had Haley as the nominee and a party focused on beating Biden, and would be looking at a landslide Republican win and trifecta. Instead, we have Trump raiding the RNC to pay his legal bills and destroying the party infrastructure and purging personnel just to coddle his ego regarding the 2020 election. The Trump and the GOP keep shooting themselves in the foot, and it is probably going to cost the party again.

Good job, MAGA. Feels great to be "winning".

Good. Nobody wants that.

Why would you possibly not want that?

Oddly enough, he's right. I don't think most Republicans want a trifecta led by a Bush era neo con Republican

[ultraviolet]

We could've had Haley as the nominee and a party focused on beating Biden, and would be looking at a landslide Republican win and trifecta. Instead, we have Trump raiding the RNC to pay his legal bills and destroying the party infrastructure and purging personnel just to coddle his ego regarding the 2020 election. The Trump and the GOP keep shooting themselves in the foot, and it is probably going to cost the party again.

Good job, MAGA. Feels great to be "winning".

Good. Nobody wants that.

Why would you possibly not want that?

Oddly enough, he's right. I don't think most Republicans want a trifecta led by a Bush era neo con Republican

I guess so. Shows the power of the Trump cult. I would gladly take Dem trifecta whether the president was Biden or Ilhan Omar or Kysten Sinema.

[ProgressiveModerate]

This is why the 2022 midterms were so enlightening for me. Democrats rebounded bigly in major swing states that will have implications for this year's elections.

I feel like 2022 was the year where Democrats finally climbed out of the hole they had been in at the state level since 2010.

Furthermore, now MI/WI/PA/AZ all have fair state legislative maps, in TX and GA favorable geography limits the effectiveness of R gerrymanders; NC is really the only swing state where Rs have close to a true lock on power now.

[Mr. Smith]

DA:  Ohiowa aside, Hillary had the advantage in all the perceived swing states at this point, went on to win most of them, including the perceived tipping point...it wasn't enough because the real ones and actual tipping point ended up different.

[Tekken_Guy]

This is why the 2022 midterms were so enlightening for me. Democrats rebounded bigly in major swing states that will have implications for this year's elections.

I feel like 2022 was the year where Democrats finally climbed out of the hole they had been in at the state level since 2010.

Furthermore, now MI/WI/PA/AZ all have fair state legislative maps, in TX and GA favorable geography limits the effectiveness of R gerrymanders; NC is really the only swing state where Rs have close to a true lock on power now.

R’s don’t have a lock on power in NC because county splitting rules make it tough to lock in a supermajority.

[Electric Circus]

Oddly enough, he's right. I don't think most Republicans want a trifecta led by a Bush era neo con Republican

This is correct. If Haley represented such an important political tendency within the Republican Party, she would be more than a footnote to Trump's overwhelming victory in the primaries.

The reality is that the type of person who supported Haley, but who will not support Trump, makes up what is now a minor faction within the Democratic coalition. They might think of themselves as the Republican Party in exile, and they probably dream of re-taking the party someday, but at this point they're more Juan Guaidó than Charles de Gaulle.

[MillennialModerate]

We're setting the stage for a Biden blowout this November.

Republicans are simply not doing what they need to do to win in November.

That’s one of the things that seems to make the Trump phenomenon rare - you don’t need alot of the infrastructure a normal campaign needs. His voters are wildly motivated (and deluded but hey) to run over broken coals to vote for him

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We're setting the stage for a Biden blowout this November.

Republicans are simply not doing what they need to do to win in November.

That’s one of the things that seems to make the Trump phenomenon rare - you don’t need alot of the infrastructure a normal campaign needs. His voters are wildly motivated (and deluded but hey) to run over broken coals to vote for him

Wrong the problem is inflation has lasted too long that whats causing Trump being competetive in polls, we haven't faced since 1980 with Reagan and you tend to think Rs overperform while other think DS overperform the polls