How would the Senate Battleground Map look like with 1980s era polarization

[OSR stands with Israel]

This would be my guess :



I think Montana would clearly be the best shot for a GOP pickup and WV would be a pure tossup with Justice vs Manchin and it would be Safe D if Justice does not run.

AZ also is safe D if Lake gets the nomination. I could also see the GOP trying to recruit Charlie Baker or Karyn Polito to run for the Senate as well

[Zenobiyl]

This would be my guess :



I think Montana would clearly be the best shot for a GOP pickup and WV would be a pure tossup with Justice vs Manchin and it would be Safe D if Justice does not run.

AZ also is safe D if Lake gets the nomination. I could also see the GOP trying to recruit Charlie Baker or Karyn Polito to run for the Senate as well

CA would be lean D

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

In 1988 Jim Sasser won Tennessee by like thirty points. Byrd also won big in West Virginia. Nebraska also flipped.

West Virginia should be likely or lean D assuming Manchin would run again which he likely would, Nebraska special would be lean R as would Tennessee and Mississippi.

[OSR stands with Israel]

In 1988 Jim Sasser won Tennessee by like thirty points. Byrd also won big in West Virginia. Nebraska also flipped.

West Virginia should be likely or lean D assuming Manchin would run again which he likely would, Nebraska special would be lean R as would Tennessee and Mississippi.

I meant 1980s style level ticket splitting , not 1980s political leanings of each state

[Senator Incitatus]

Actually, you’re thinking about this the wrong way. With 1980s polarization, Tester would be safe, and Ricketts (and maybe Warren) would be vulnerable.

[Schiff for Senate]

Actually, you’re thinking about this the wrong way. With 1980s polarization, Tester would be safe, and Ricketts (and maybe Warren) would be vulnerable.

Idk about the rest, but I absolutely agree that MT would be Safe Tester. The fact that he still has a fighting chance now, in 2024, in a state as red as MT, should be quite telling.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Safe D: OH, MT
Lean D: NV, VA, NJ, CA
Tossup: NV, MI
Lean R: TX, FL
Likely R: WV

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Tossup TX, FL
Lean inc party OH, MT, MD, Az
Safe inc party WV D, PA, MI, WI