Who wins the House of representatives?
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  Who wins the House of representatives?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: 100 day poll
#1
The Democratic party		  
#2
Pure tossup		  
#3
The GOP		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 52

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Who wins the House of representatives?  (Read 529 times)
°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
Junior Chimp
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« on: March 24, 2024, 12:10:18 PM »
I vote option 2.
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wesmoorenerd
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« Reply #1 on: March 24, 2024, 01:17:47 PM »
I'd call it Tilt R. I peg the GOP's odds at holding the chamber at maybe 60%.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #2 on: March 24, 2024, 01:38:12 PM »
Tilt D.

I think the main thing that helps is the vast majority of battlegrounds are in Biden won seats that Biden probably carries again or places where the Dem incumbent is particularly strong and was able to survive 2022, often with relative ease.

Dems floor also seems pretty high - there aren't that many seats they won in 2022 that actually seem vulnerable, though ofc things can change.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #3 on: March 24, 2024, 05:52:09 PM »
I agree with a tilt D rating.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #4 on: March 24, 2024, 06:02:40 PM »
Why can we select two options?

I voted for the Democrats and Republicans because f*** those Whigs.
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Lambsbread
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« Reply #5 on: March 24, 2024, 08:00:43 PM »
There are only two outcomes that I would be happy with: a thin-ish Democratic majority (10-ish seats) or a 1 vote GOP majority. The former would be good for America, the latter would be good for my comedic interests.
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Cyrusman
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« Reply #6 on: March 25, 2024, 05:46:00 PM »
Quote from: They put it to a vote and they just kept lying on March 24, 2024, 08:00:43 PM
There are only two outcomes that I would be happy with: a thin-ish Democratic majority (10-ish seats) or a 1 vote GOP majority. The former would be good for America, the latter would be good for my comedic interests.

How would you feel with a 2-5 seat Dem majority?
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #7 on: March 31, 2024, 02:50:02 AM »
Tilt D. Voted one and two. I think both House and Senate may well flip this year -- iirc, someone on here said this would be the first time the House and Senate flip to opposite parties in the same cycle.
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Malarkey Decider
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« Reply #8 on: March 31, 2024, 03:44:48 PM »
Quote from: Cyrusman on March 25, 2024, 05:46:00 PM
Quote from: They put it to a vote and they just kept lying on March 24, 2024, 08:00:43 PM
There are only two outcomes that I would be happy with: a thin-ish Democratic majority (10-ish seats) or a 1 vote GOP majority. The former would be good for America, the latter would be good for my comedic interests.

How would you feel with a 2-5 seat Dem majority?

House Democrats tend to be far more united (and willing to listen to leadership) than their Republican counterparts, so I suspect a 5-seat majority wouldn't be too bad for most issues. There wasn't really much of a problem from 2021-2023, when they had a 10-seat majority.

1 or 2 would be quite tenuous though.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #9 on: March 31, 2024, 03:48:24 PM »
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on March 24, 2024, 06:02:40 PM
Why can we select two options?

I voted for the Democrats and Republicans because f*** those Whigs.

Don't Whig out on us, Mike.
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