Who wins these Florida counties?

[Tekken_Guy]

Each of these counties voted for Biden in 2020 but DeSantis in 2022. Who wins them in November?

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Biden wins all of these.

[Spectator]

It's so hard to make a good guess on these. I think Trump will win most of them, but what makes it hard is that some of these places should favor Biden demographically, like Seminole and Duval, which were the only Biden counties I chose. They are basically the only Dem-trending counties of the bunch. I can see anywhere from Biden sweeping them all (unlikely, but not a zero shot) to Trump sweeping them all (reasonable)

[Progressive Pessimist]

Biden wins all except Pinellas and Seminole.

Miami-Dade is the biggest tossup of these.

[2016]

Biden wins all except Pinellas and Seminole.

Miami-Dade is the biggest tossup of these.

Trump is going to win them all except for Palm Beach and possibly Duval who will stay with Biden.

If those figures are true that Republicans are now within 10,000 Registered Voters in Hillsborough that's GAME OVER for D's and it puts Kathy Castors Congressional District in play.

https://twitter.com/FLVoiceNews/status/1771181147545805025

[seskoog]

If I had to pick, Biden wins all except Pinellas and Miami-Dade, but realistically, only Palm Beach is safe for either candidate. The rest are some degree of tossup.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

It's ironic that Biden's 2 best counties will be Trump 2016 ones. Meanwhile Trump's best county (Miami-Dade) was Clinton+30.

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

Biden is gonna lose Dade by double digits. FL Dems are giving up and are incompetent. Low propensity Dem voters will stay home as their vote no longer matters, and many conservatives are migrating to FL. My gut says Trump wins the state by double digits but less than DeSantis/Rubio.

I think Trump sweeps all but Palm Beach. Seminole/Duval will be close but I think the Dem turnout collapse means Trump edges a win even if he regresses in some suburbs.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

FL is vulnerable this yr due to no IAN, Miami Dade isn't going R this yr.  Granted that Trump has a connection to Cuban community but it can still flip we are seeing polls FL is within 5

[Mr.Phips]

Biden wins all except Pinellas and Seminole.

Miami-Dade is the biggest tossup of these.

Trump is going to win them all except for Palm Beach and possibly Duval who will stay with Biden.

If those figures are true that Republicans are now within 10,000 Registered Voters in Hillsborough that's GAME OVER for D's and it puts Kathy Castors Congressional District in play.

https://twitter.com/FLVoiceNews/status/1771181147545805025

Highly unlikely given that her district includes the most Dem parts of the county and St Petersburg in Pinellas county.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Why do we need Florida posts every few days? It's obviously going to Trump. Who cares who wins what counties?

[TodayJunior]

Pinellas is really the only one that has a realistic chance of flipping back to Trump. It’s the margins that will be the most interesting to watch. My take:

Swing D:
Duval D+6
Seminole D+7

About the same:
Hillsborough D+7
Pinellas R+0.5

Swing R:
Palm Beach D+8
Miami D+4
Osceola D+12

[Schiff for Senate]

It's so hard to make a good guess on these. I think Trump will win most of them, but what makes it hard is that some of these places should favor Biden demographically, like Seminole and Duval, which were the only Biden counties I chose. They are basically the only Dem-trending counties of the bunch. I can see anywhere from Biden sweeping them all (unlikely, but not a zero shot) to Trump sweeping them all (reasonable)

There's no way Palm Beach County is voting for Trump, his residency therein notwithstanding.

[Schiff for Senate]

Biden wins all except Pinellas and Seminole.

Miami-Dade is the biggest tossup of these.

Trump is going to win them all except for Palm Beach and possibly Duval who will stay with Biden.

If those figures are true that Republicans are now within 10,000 Registered Voters in Hillsborough that's GAME OVER for D's and it puts Kathy Castors Congressional District in play.

https://twitter.com/FLVoiceNews/status/1771181147545805025

The fact that the other county mentioned here is Trump+20 and nonetheless has a Dem voter registration advantage should show that voter registration isn't really worth a thimble of spit.