What chance do you think there is that the 2024 Race ends up in a 269-269 Tie?
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  What chance do you think there is that the 2024 Race ends up in a 269-269 Tie?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: What chance do you think there is that the 2024 Race ends up in a 269-269 Tie?  (Read 219 times)
2016
Junior Chimp
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« on: March 21, 2024, 02:06:13 PM »
Biden keeps the Blue Wall States (WI, MI, PA) - I'd say at the end of the Day that's still a high Probablility
Trump takes back AZ & GA + wins NV - That chance is also reasonably possible.
Trump wins NE-2 - Given how the lines were redrawn that is a possibility too.



2024 might be the year it truly happens!
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Bush did 311
Vatnos
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« Reply #1 on: March 21, 2024, 02:08:45 PM »
This isn't even the only combination this could happen in. It's more likely than ever.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #2 on: March 21, 2024, 05:01:58 PM »
I can see Trump winning back Arizona/NV/GA if Latinos move towards him, and Biden winning WI/MI/PA if he leans heavily into Dobbs, but seeing Biden also lose NE-02 in this scenario is difficult to imagine.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #3 on: March 21, 2024, 05:55:11 PM »
Oh God, please no!
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #4 on: March 21, 2024, 06:31:08 PM »
No, because if Biden is losing NE-02 then Trump is clearing 300 electoral votes.
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progressive85
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: March 21, 2024, 06:35:13 PM »
Imagine if one of them has a big popular vote advantage and the other one barely tied with the electoral college, and then it goes to a D or R House where the popular vote winner loses the election.  Maybe that would get a lot of more people to think the electoral college has to go.
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