Which of these CA Republicans will be elected in November?

[Tekken_Guy]

Which of these CA Republicans will be elected in November?

[oldtimer]

Which of these CA Republicans will be elected in November?

Looks like none will lose.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Kiley, Kim, Calvert, and Steel for sure.

[ملكة كرينجيتوك]

The only one I'm absolutely certain of is Young Kim tbh.

Current ranking of the "competitive" R-held SoCal seats based on 2022 results and 2024 primary results: [most D] CA-41 < CA-45 < CA-27 < CA-40 [most R]

[Roll Roons]

I actually said all except Lincoln (Harder is a proven overperformer) and Gunderson (Levin got over 50% in the primary).

Kim is clearly the safest of the lot, and probably the safest Republican in a Biden district along with Fitzpatrick, but all of the incumbent California Republicans in competitive seats did fairly well in the primary. Republicans also did better in CA-47 than they did in 2022, and Baugh won't be facing a very well-funded incumbent.

[wesmoorenerd]

Baugh isn't winning. Min may be a flawed candidate but this is still a Biden +11 seat in a presidential year.

I don't have much faith in the ability of CA Dems to knock off Duarte, Valadao, or Garcia but those really wouldn't be that hard with a competent operation.

[Spectator]

I actually said all except Lincoln (Harder is a proven overperformer) and Gunderson (Levin got over 50% in the primary).

Kim is clearly the safest of the lot, and probably the safest Republican in a Biden district along with Fitzpatrick, but all of the incumbent California Republicans in competitive seats did fairly well in the primary. Republicans also did better in CA-47 than they did in 2022, and Baugh won't be facing a very well-funded incumbent.

The presidential primary lopsidedly boosted Republicans in the primary. Dems have huge voter registration advantages in most these districts but Republicans outvoted them in most of them.

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

Republicans hold all their seats and flip Katie Porter's. Harder and Levin survive narrowly.

[smoltchanov]

All, except Lincoln, Gunderson, and, may be - Baugh