NC Marist: Stein+2

[S019]

https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-battleground-2024-north-carolina/

49% of North Carolina registered voters support Democrat Josh Stein in the race for North Carolina governor. 47% back Republican Mark Robinson, and 1% are for another party’s candidate. Three percent are undecided. Only two percentage points separate Stein (49%) and Robinson (47%) among independents.

49%: Stein (D)
47%: Robinson (R)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ha Stein is winning

[Spectator]

Over 30% of voters have no idea who Robinson is, either. Good poll for Stein considering that and the Presidential numbers.

[Vern]

Yea, Stein will end up winning by 5%

[Lambsbread]

Yea, Stein will end up winning by 5%

I don't think it'll be that large. 2-3% seems reasonable, but that's still well within the MoE.

[Fancyarcher]

Yea, Stein will end up winning by 5%

That's more than Cooper did in 2020. Very unbelievable, especially when most polls (including this one), right now show him only outrunning Biden by 2 points.

[Sir Mohamed]

Yea, Stein will end up winning by 5%

Sounds plausible. Certainly he'll do a few points better than Biden. If he's winning by 5, the prez race is probably within a single point.

[Spectator]

Yea, Stein will end up winning by 5%

That's more than Cooper did in 2020. Very unbelievable, especially when most polls (including this one), right now show him only outrunning Biden by 2 points.

And people also didn’t believe Shapiro would win by almost the sane margin Wolf did in 2018. Something about his AG races being close in 2016/2020. We see how that turned out.

[DaleCooper]

Yea, Stein will end up winning by 5%

That's more than Cooper did in 2020. Very unbelievable, especially when most polls (including this one), right now show him only outrunning Biden by 2 points.

And people also didn’t believe Shapiro would win by almost the sane margin Wolf did in 2018. Something about his AG races being close in 2016/2020. We see how that turned out.

The Republicans with obvious mental disabilities tended to under-perform their polling average the most in 2022. I'm sure that will be true with Robinson as well.

[Dan the Roman]

Radical view

Robinson will either win
Lose very narrowly 1-2
Lose by a landslide 8-11

If Robinson's issues become internalized by the electorate, he, like Mastriano is going to lose badly with massive amounts of split-ticket voting. Otherwise, he is going to function as a Generic Republican -, under-performing among high-information partisan but not ultra-ideological voters which is a small group.

[Vern]

Dan Forest was a way better candidate than this clown is. While Copper was popular, he face a solid opponent.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Fairly encouraging, also these +2 margins might be nearing consistency. I hope it keeps up or expands.