March 19th Official Primary Thread (AZ, FL, IL, KS, OH)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Haley and Phillips leading in Shelby County.

Smh contrarians

https://twitter.com/USA_Polling/status/1770239990733197398

Freedom county.

That's been corrected, but Haley appears to have won in Holmes County.

Also, Trump and Biden win KS.

[Eraserhead]

Not much of a protest vote in Chicago at the moment. Biden is hovering around 90% there right now.

Sounds about right.

Chicago is not Portland or SF.

There's also no "Uncommitted" option on the ballot. I doubt there was much effort put forth to support any of the non-Biden candidates on the ballot.

[Eraserhead]

Looks like Kansas might be the worst state for Biden and Trump tonight.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Is Holmes County OH an error or do the Amish there really hate Trump? Seems like an error but it's seemingly normal for all the other races.

[Eraserhead]

Haley and Phillips leading in Shelby County.

Smh contrarians

https://twitter.com/USA_Polling/status/1770239990733197398

Freedom county.

That's been corrected, but Haley appears to have won in Holmes County.

Also, Trump and Biden win KS.

Damn.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Looks like Kansas might be the worst state for Biden and Trump tonight.

seems to be a result of the "none of the names shown" option

[Mexican Wolf]

CNN is showing Holmes as 82% to 11% victory for Trump; what sites have Haley leading there?

[ProgressiveModerate]

CNN is showing Holmes as 82% to 11% victory for Trump; what sites have Haley leading there?

NYT; yeah it's probably an error though

[Eraserhead]

Dean Phillips now at 12.8% in Ohio. Congratulations, Dean!

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Trump is at 82% in Sumter which is slightly better than statewide. If you expect to see a big turn of seniors and retirees against him you would see it here.

[The Mikado]

Is...Dean Phillips going to get delegates out of Ohio???

Looks like the Demosaurs have found their candidate. WV should be interesting, given Phillips' performance on the WV border.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Is...Dean Phillips going to get delegates out of Ohio???

Looks like the Demosaurs have found their candidate. WV should be interesting, given Phillips' performance on the WV border.

Not unless he has 15% in a CD

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Overall, now that a good sample of votes is in, it's a pretty good showing for Trump, although somewhat down from last week's slate due to more heavy early voting. Kansas is the deviation because it has "none of the names shown".

[Eraserhead]

"None of the Names Shown" now over 10% in Kansas. Biden at 83.9%.

No similar option in Arizona so this will definitely be his worst state tonight.

[The Mikado]

Is...Dean Phillips going to get delegates out of Ohio???

Looks like the Demosaurs have found their candidate. WV should be interesting, given Phillips' performance on the WV border.

Not unless he has 15% in a CD

I mean, we all know that.

CDs 6 and 14 both look like he might achieve that.

[Eraserhead]

Is...Dean Phillips going to get delegates out of Ohio???

Looks like the Demosaurs have found their candidate. WV should be interesting, given Phillips' performance on the WV border.

There are other names on the West Virginia ballot which will hurt him (unlike here). Willamson is not one of them though apparently.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

CNN is showing Holmes as 82% to 11% victory for Trump; what sites have Haley leading there?

NYT; yeah it's probably an error though

unfortunately it has been corrected

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Trump and Biden win Arizona

See you on Saturday for LA and MO-D

[Eraserhead]

It looks like "None of the Names Shown" is going to carry a few pretty empty counties in Kansas over Biden.

[Roll Roons]

Haley getting nearly 25% of the vote in Sarasota County. Biden will win some of these anti-Trump voters.

Sarasota is also one of the few FL retiree counties where you have some genuinely liberal pockets of white seniors.

I know Sarasota County extremely well. A lot of MAGAts have moved there and it's gotten a lot of attention for people like Christian and Bridget Ziegler, but there actually are a lot of moderate Chamber of Commerce-type Republicans who live there.

Actually, Haley is outperforming her statewide share in every Gulf Coast county from Pinellas to Monroe.

[xavier110]

Maricopa mail dropped

Biden 90%
Other 10%

Trump 74%
Haley 22%
Other 4%

[Arizona Iced Tea]

https://vxtwitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1770284728899477988?t=UPgxXKKhaahY1J...

[Gass3268]

Sizeable anti-Trump vote in Maricopa.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Sizeable anti-Trump vote in Maricopa.

That's true but this is the early vote and consists of a significant amount of the McCainites who still vote in R primaries. The election day vote will lean heavily towards Trump.

[RI]

Native Americans continue to not be Biden fans.