More likely to lose re-election: Hobbs or Lombardo?
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  More likely to lose re-election: Hobbs or Lombardo?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Who is more likely to lose re-election?
#1
Katie Hobbs		  
#2
Joe Lombardo		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 60

Author Topic: More likely to lose re-election: Hobbs or Lombardo?  (Read 901 times)
Tekken_Guy
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« on: March 18, 2024, 07:19:02 PM »
Who is more likely to lose re-election? Katie Hobbs or Joe Lombardo?
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Vice President Christian Man
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« Reply #1 on: March 18, 2024, 08:57:55 PM »
Hobbs
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Spectator
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« Reply #2 on: March 19, 2024, 10:03:44 AM »
Much matters who is president. All else equal, Hobbs. However, Aaron Ford seems certain to run against Lombardo.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #3 on: March 19, 2024, 10:05:57 AM »
Hobbs. Lombardo seems inoffensive and is relatively popular. I could see him winning even in a Trump midterm.
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xavier110
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« Reply #4 on: March 19, 2024, 03:51:23 PM »
« Edited: March 19, 2024, 04:04:54 PM by xavier110 »
Who is the GOP realistically going to nominate against Hobbs…Mark Finchem? Eventual two-time loser [I mean, inc. Gov. and Sen.] Kari Lake, lmao?

She may win yet again! I also don’t think it matters for her if it’s a Biden or Trump midterm. If it’s Trump, she benefits from having a D next to her name. If it’s Biden, you can 100% trust and believe that the AZ GOP will do some bonkers stuff when Biden wins AZ again.
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Arizona Iced Tea
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« Reply #5 on: March 19, 2024, 10:53:32 PM »
Quote from: xavier110 on March 19, 2024, 03:51:23 PM
Who is the GOP realistically going to nominate against Hobbs…Mark Finchem? Eventual two-time loser [I mean, inc. Gov. and Sen.] Kari Lake, lmao?

She may win yet again! I also don’t think it matters for her if it’s a Biden or Trump midterm. If it’s Trump, she benefits from having a D next to her name. If it’s Biden, you can 100% trust and believe that the AZ GOP will do some bonkers stuff when Biden wins AZ again.
Best thing AZ GOP could do is run a bland boring older white guy, or a Matt Salmon esque figure.Thats basically catnip for white suburbanites.
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xavier110
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« Reply #6 on: March 19, 2024, 11:07:32 PM »
Quote from: Arizona Iced Tea on March 19, 2024, 10:53:32 PM
Quote from: xavier110 on March 19, 2024, 03:51:23 PM
Who is the GOP realistically going to nominate against Hobbs…Mark Finchem? Eventual two-time loser [I mean, inc. Gov. and Sen.] Kari Lake, lmao?

She may win yet again! I also don’t think it matters for her if it’s a Biden or Trump midterm. If it’s Trump, she benefits from having a D next to her name. If it’s Biden, you can 100% trust and believe that the AZ GOP will do some bonkers stuff when Biden wins AZ again.
Best thing AZ GOP could do is run a bland boring older white guy, or a Matt Salmon esque figure.Thats basically catnip for white suburbanites.

I agree. They just need to nominate some boring, center-right, pro-business, low-taxes generic R to win. But I don’t know how said person makes it through an AZ GOP primary lacking the Trump endorsement.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #7 on: March 20, 2024, 06:17:01 PM »
Hobbs. However, the Nevada Democrats have the better bench to challenge Lombardo than the Arizona GOP does against Hobbs.
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Utah Neolib
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« Reply #8 on: March 20, 2024, 06:50:40 PM »
Quote from: xavier110 on March 19, 2024, 11:07:32 PM
Quote from: Arizona Iced Tea on March 19, 2024, 10:53:32 PM
Quote from: xavier110 on March 19, 2024, 03:51:23 PM
Who is the GOP realistically going to nominate against Hobbs…Mark Finchem? Eventual two-time loser [I mean, inc. Gov. and Sen.] Kari Lake, lmao?

She may win yet again! I also don’t think it matters for her if it’s a Biden or Trump midterm. If it’s Trump, she benefits from having a D next to her name. If it’s Biden, you can 100% trust and believe that the AZ GOP will do some bonkers stuff when Biden wins AZ again.
Best thing AZ GOP could do is run a bland boring older white guy, or a Matt Salmon esque figure.Thats basically catnip for white suburbanites.

I agree. They just need to nominate some boring, center-right, pro-business, low-taxes generic R to win. But I don’t know how said person makes it through an AZ GOP primary lacking the Trump endorsement.
It’ll be Kari Lake a third time
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xavier110
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« Reply #9 on: March 20, 2024, 07:03:17 PM »
Quote from: Utah Neolib on March 20, 2024, 06:50:40 PM
Quote from: xavier110 on March 19, 2024, 11:07:32 PM
Quote from: Arizona Iced Tea on March 19, 2024, 10:53:32 PM
Quote from: xavier110 on March 19, 2024, 03:51:23 PM
Who is the GOP realistically going to nominate against Hobbs…Mark Finchem? Eventual two-time loser [I mean, inc. Gov. and Sen.] Kari Lake, lmao?

She may win yet again! I also don’t think it matters for her if it’s a Biden or Trump midterm. If it’s Trump, she benefits from having a D next to her name. If it’s Biden, you can 100% trust and believe that the AZ GOP will do some bonkers stuff when Biden wins AZ again.
Best thing AZ GOP could do is run a bland boring older white guy, or a Matt Salmon esque figure.Thats basically catnip for white suburbanites.

I agree. They just need to nominate some boring, center-right, pro-business, low-taxes generic R to win. But I don’t know how said person makes it through an AZ GOP primary lacking the Trump endorsement.
It’ll be Kari Lake a third time

I certainly think it’s possible. At the moment I would expect her to be the 2026 GOP nominee.
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MargieCat
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« Reply #10 on: March 20, 2024, 10:50:17 PM »
Quote from: Arizona Iced Tea on March 19, 2024, 10:53:32 PM
Quote from: xavier110 on March 19, 2024, 03:51:23 PM
Who is the GOP realistically going to nominate against Hobbs…Mark Finchem? Eventual two-time loser [I mean, inc. Gov. and Sen.] Kari Lake, lmao?

She may win yet again! I also don’t think it matters for her if it’s a Biden or Trump midterm. If it’s Trump, she benefits from having a D next to her name. If it’s Biden, you can 100% trust and believe that the AZ GOP will do some bonkers stuff when Biden wins AZ again.
Best thing AZ GOP could do is run a bland boring older white guy, or a Matt Salmon esque figure.Thats basically catnip for white suburbanites.
How about Superintendent Tom Horne?
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #11 on: March 21, 2024, 12:09:54 AM »
Hobbs
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Spectator
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« Reply #12 on: March 21, 2024, 12:02:30 PM »
Quote from: MargieCat on March 20, 2024, 10:50:17 PM
Quote from: Arizona Iced Tea on March 19, 2024, 10:53:32 PM
Quote from: xavier110 on March 19, 2024, 03:51:23 PM
Who is the GOP realistically going to nominate against Hobbs…Mark Finchem? Eventual two-time loser [I mean, inc. Gov. and Sen.] Kari Lake, lmao?

She may win yet again! I also don’t think it matters for her if it’s a Biden or Trump midterm. If it’s Trump, she benefits from having a D next to her name. If it’s Biden, you can 100% trust and believe that the AZ GOP will do some bonkers stuff when Biden wins AZ again.
Best thing AZ GOP could do is run a bland boring older white guy, or a Matt Salmon esque figure.Thats basically catnip for white suburbanites.
How about Superintendent Tom Horne?

He’s got skeletons in his closet and he’s 80. Kim Yee would be far and away the best choice but I doubt she could win a primary.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #13 on: March 22, 2024, 03:09:17 PM »
Neither will
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #14 on: March 27, 2024, 09:15:18 PM »
All else equal, Hobbs, because in purple states, Dems are likelier to cross over to vote for an R governor than Republicans are to cross over and vote for a D governor.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #15 on: March 29, 2024, 10:48:13 PM »
Lombardo
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