What is the biggest problem Democrats face in Florida?

[Tekken_Guy]

What is the biggest problem Democrats face in florida?

[Annatar]

Non college whites in FL beginning to vote as Republican as their counterparts in the rest of the south plus hispanics shifting republican.

[TodayJunior]

South Florida margins which is a combo of #1 and #2. Central Florida and Jax moving left is not enough to offset these R gains down south.

[TML]

The state Democratic Party is rather weak right now, mostly because of them deciding to outsource key functions (e.g. partisan organization, voter registration, voter turnout, etc.) to outside groups around 2009-10. Only by focusing on things like voter registration, organization, data-driven persuasion, etc. can they significantly claw back their recent losses here (even with demographic groups that have shifted rightward recently, there are still substantial slices of such people who can be persuaded to vote D with proper organization).

[2016]

All of the above!

Strategic mistakes like cancelling the Presidential Primary contributing further and further to their Downfall.

[Electric Circus]

There's a potential majority for them on paper, if you take the demographics-driven perspective of an electoral calculator, but it's an awkward one in practice.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Florida being a red state is almost a self-fulfilling prophecy at this point.  Because of how it's been talked about in recent years nationally, Republicans are far more likely to want to live there than Democrats are*.

*I think the internet does overestimate Florida hate among the left.  While people might make "Florida man" jokes, lots of normie liberals still love to vacation there- and some still would want to live there for low taxes and warm weather.

[Vice President Christian Man]

South Florida margins which is a combo of #1 and #2. Central Florida and Jax moving left is not enough to offset these R gains down south.

DeSantis did pretty well in Central Florida and Jax. At this point I'm confident that Trump will win back the counties he did in 2016 plus perhaps Hillsborough.

[TodayJunior]

South Florida margins which is a combo of #1 and #2. Central Florida and Jax moving left is not enough to offset these R gains down south.

DeSantis did pretty well in Central Florida and Jax. At this point I'm confident that Trump will win back the counties he did in 2016 plus perhaps Hillsborough.

Considering Charlie Crist had the political strength of a wet noodle, anything that was marginally swing or blue leaning did go to DeSantis. If you look at the county results compared to the statewide margin,

Duval -8
Seminole -8
Osceola -14
Hillsborough -11
Pinellas -10
Palm Beach -17
Miami dade -8

If you extrapolate Trump 2020 from DeSantis 2022, the relative changes in these counties
Duval D+1
Seminole D+2
Osceola R+2
Hillsborough - even
Pinesllas - even
Palm beach - even
Miami dade R+3

Osceola is the most blue of these, so even if it does trend R again, trump isn’t winning it.
Miami I just have to see it to believe it on the presidential level.

All the others are stagnant or D trending. So all of these are Biden counties in my view