Ohio Northern: OH Trump +12
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  Ohio Northern: OH Trump +12
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Author Topic: Ohio Northern: OH Trump +12  (Read 427 times)
jaichind
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« on: March 14, 2024, 07:50:48 AM »

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Matty
boshembechle
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« Reply #1 on: March 14, 2024, 07:53:23 AM »

Brown leads too by 3-8, but lots of undecideds

If trump is truly up 12, I think brown is likely gone
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #2 on: March 14, 2024, 07:59:31 AM »

Brown leads too by 3-8, but lots of undecideds

If trump is truly up 12, I think brown is likely gone
Its a red flag for Brown given he's consistently polling below 45% as a incumbent.  
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #3 on: March 14, 2024, 08:00:16 AM »

Rs aren't winning the S without OH and Brown is leading and has been leading
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #4 on: March 14, 2024, 08:27:59 AM »

Ohio was 10% to the right of the nation in 2016, 12.5% to the right in 2020, so if we assume 12.5-14% to the right in 2024, would line up with basically what we're seeing now in a close H2H.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #5 on: March 14, 2024, 08:32:18 AM »

Trump is gonna win OH by 9 pts like he did in 20
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #6 on: March 14, 2024, 10:32:30 AM »

Safe R.

If Biden loses by this margin, it will probably drag down Brown as well. He'll run ahead of Biden, but not by that much.
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: March 14, 2024, 10:42:02 AM »

Safe R.

If Biden loses by this margin, it will probably drag down Brown as well. He'll run ahead of Biden, but not by that much.
How about Brown not voting like OH is MA. He is too liberal for the State, voted with Biden 99 % of the Time.
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #8 on: March 14, 2024, 10:44:50 AM »

Safe R.

If Biden loses by this margin, it will probably drag down Brown as well. He'll run ahead of Biden, but not by that much.
How about Brown not voting like OH is MA. He is too liberal for the State, voted with Biden 99 % of the Time.

I doubt that would save him. Brown's main appeal is his brand as the pro-working class candidate with a streak of populism. He's actually a good fit for his state, it's just that senate elections have been nationalized to a wide degree. We have the fewest numbers of senators that represent states the other party's previous POTUS candidate won.
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The Economy is Getting Worse
riverwalk3
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« Reply #9 on: March 14, 2024, 10:52:02 AM »

Safe R.

If Biden loses by this margin, it will probably drag down Brown as well. He'll run ahead of Biden, but not by that much.
I could see gigantic ticket splits if everyone thinks Trump will win by the election.
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #10 on: March 14, 2024, 10:57:14 AM »

Safe R.

If Biden loses by this margin, it will probably drag down Brown as well. He'll run ahead of Biden, but not by that much.
How about Brown not voting like OH is MA. He is too liberal for the State, voted with Biden 99 % of the Time.

I doubt that would save him. Brown's main appeal is his brand as the pro-working class candidate with a streak of populism. He's actually a good fit for his state, it's just that senate elections have been nationalized to a wide degree. We have the fewest numbers of senators that represent states the other party's previous POTUS candidate won.
Barack Obama is to be blamed for this increased polarization in the Country. It started with him.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #11 on: March 14, 2024, 12:25:27 PM »

Safe R.

If Biden loses by this margin, it will probably drag down Brown as well. He'll run ahead of Biden, but not by that much.
How about Brown not voting like OH is MA. He is too liberal for the State, voted with Biden 99 % of the Time.

I doubt that would save him. Brown's main appeal is his brand as the pro-working class candidate with a streak of populism. He's actually a good fit for his state, it's just that senate elections have been nationalized to a wide degree. We have the fewest numbers of senators that represent states the other party's previous POTUS candidate won.
Barack Obama is to be blamed for this increased polarization in the Country. It started with him.

Lol Bush W won on a divided vote in FL over Gore and he was the polarized one yet again you are wrong

Bush W went to war to win 2004 on false pretended no WMDs
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