I think it’s safe to say that Casey is outperforming Biden by 8-10.
Like yes, if Trump wins PA by 4 then Casey isn’t going to win in a landslide. But the only way Casey loses is if Biden is losing massively, both nationally and in PA.
Likely D at this stage. Funny that this might be safer for Ds than MD is (I said might, not is - I expect this to change in the coming months).
Maryland is very much Safe D right now.
That is an insane take when there are polls showing Hogen with 15+ point leads.
To be clear, Ds should and almost certainly will hold it, MD is going to vote for Biden by 30+ and senate races are pretty polarized. But just saying ‘Safe D’ with zero coherent thought due strictly to fundamentals is blatantly wrong.
WV in 2018 was more conservative than MD is liberal now. It still voted for Manchin. These things can happen, if rarely. Not saying that it will, but to deny there is even a chance of it is silly.
Regardless and back on topic, we can all agree that Casey should have this barring a catastrophe.
