Noble Predictive NV Trump +5

[jaichind]

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1768233226777030730

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is same as MC, there's no difference

[jaichind]

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Same exact poll as Emerson had it last time NV R plus 5 these polls are following the 22 pattern very nicely

[Progressive Pessimist]

Trump at 45 doesn't really tell us much.

[Redban]

Looks right

And RFK jr, I believe, already has ballot access here.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Looks right

And RFK jr, I believe, already has ballot access here.

It's not right if Biden is tied or ahead in NPVI the polls are wrong Rosen is also leading, you believe polls too much I told you wait til we vote

[jaichind]

Same poll has Dem +3 lead on GCB

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is the same exact poll as in 22 just has Trump name on it again if Biden is tied in the NPVI he isn't losing by 5 in NV, Emerson had Laxalt up 5

[TheTide]

Biden being down by 24 to the combined vote of Trump, RFK Jr, Stein and West is quite something. Those four are not exactly, for example, Marco Rubio, Gary Johnson, Ralph Nader and Bernie Sanders.

Yes, it can be pointed out that Trump is trailing by 10 to the combined vote of the other four candidates, but one of those four candidates is firmly seen as being within the boundaries of rationality.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trash poll

[PSOL]

It should be noted that all three candidates are running to the Left of Biden.

Biden being down by 24 to the combined vote of Trump, RFK Jr, Stein and West is quite something. Those four are not exactly, for example, Marco Rubio, Gary Johnson, Ralph Nader and Bernie Sanders.

Yes, it can be pointed out that Trump is trailing by 10 to the combined vote of the other four candidates, but one of those four candidates is firmly seen as being within the boundaries of rationality.

Jill Stein and Cornel West are arguably running to the right of the past Sanders campaign, a pretty mainstream politician.

[The Mikado]

Worth pointing out the last time the Green Party was on the ballot in Nevada was 2008 and there's zero reason to think Jill Stein will make it this time and even less to think Cornel West, who doesn't seem to even be trying to do signature gathering just about anywhere, will.

The Libertarian, whoever that ends up being, WILL be on the ballot in NV, as will the Constitution Party candidate (LOL), quite possibly RFK Jr (who is actually trying and has actual money), and of course, None of These Candidates.

Something like:

Biden
Trump
Libertarian
Constitution
RFK Jr.
None of these Candidates

Seems likely for NV's ballot. Worth also remembering NV doesn't do Write Ins as an option.

[Yelnoc]

Worth pointing out the last time the Green Party was on the ballot in Nevada was 2008 and there's zero reason to think Jill Stein will make it this time and even less to think Cornel West, who doesn't seem to even be trying to do signature gathering just about anywhere, will.

The Libertarian, whoever that ends up being, WILL be on the ballot in NV, as will the Constitution Party candidate (LOL), quite possibly RFK Jr (who is actually trying and has actual money), and of course, None of These Candidates.

Something like:

Biden
Trump
Libertarian
Constitution
RFK Jr.
None of these Candidates

Seems likely for NV's ballot. Worth also remembering NV doesn't do Write Ins as an option.

Thank you for this.

I suppose the question is, what will the 6% who say they support West and Stein do? Will they clench their teeth and vote for Biden? Will they stay home or cast a ballot for NOTA? Will stick to their third party instinct and vote for RFK? I genuinely have no idea.

[Brittain33]

Nevada poll? Lean D.

[🇺🇦 Purple 🦄 Unicorn 🇮🇱]

Worth pointing out the last time the Green Party was on the ballot in Nevada was 2008 and there's zero reason to think Jill Stein will make it this time and even less to think Cornel West, who doesn't seem to even be trying to do signature gathering just about anywhere, will.

The Libertarian, whoever that ends up being, WILL be on the ballot in NV, as will the Constitution Party candidate (LOL), quite possibly RFK Jr (who is actually trying and has actual money), and of course, None of These Candidates.

Something like:

Biden
Trump
Libertarian
Constitution
RFK Jr.
None of these Candidates

Seems likely for NV's ballot. Worth also remembering NV doesn't do Write Ins as an option.

Stein needs 10.000 signatures in NV by early June and has collected 7.000 already.

I think it's possible that she's on the ballot.