Emerson: PA Trump +4

[jaichind]

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1768224122566246407

[2016]

Poll entirely done after the SOTU. You want any evidence that there wasn't any bounce here you have it.

[jaichind]

Previous poll in Feb was Trump +2

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Poll entirely done after the SOTU. You want any evidence that there wasn't any bounce here you have it.

Lol Emerson has shown Trump ahead in every poll I don't buy it, we still have to vote and you said Trump gonna lose you flip flopping again

[2016]

Previous poll in Feb was Trump +2

If I am the Biden Campaign I am getting a little nervous.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

He is anxious not nervous because it's not time to vote yet and Trump 4 is only MOE but are the Maga supporters taking glee of this yes they are.

[Annatar]

Big question is what happens with the non college white vote in PA, especially in the north east in counties like Lackawanna and Luzerne. Biden narrowly won PA in 2020 by keeping enough non college whites, he improved by 5% in both of these counties and similar counties throughout the state.

If non college whites in counties like Lackawanna shift towards Trump, he will win the state, he needs a swing of a few percent among them to flip it.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Reuters has Biden up 2 the state by state polls are trash NV R +5 no and PA Trump +4 no

[wbrocks67]

Previous poll in Feb was Trump +2

Meh, the previous poll to that in Jan was Trump +7, so suffice to say Emerson has been a bit all over the place here.

Casey suddenly collapsing here compared to their last poll (and only at 45) is kind of the tell for me that this one is meh. But memerson will be memerson. PA was one of their worst states in 2022, so we'll see.

EDIT: Wait, Party registration (not ID) being R+1?? Oh ...

[Sir Mohamed]

Poll entirely done after the SOTU. You want any evidence that there wasn't any bounce here you have it.

It's Emerson and one poll, but I'm afraid you're not wrong. I'd more worried if that was post DNC, but I'm starting to believe Biden might actually lose the election. The writing has been on the wall for a while. Nonetheless I doubt another Dem would do better, at least polling doesn't reflect that.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Poll entirely done after the SOTU. You want any evidence that there wasn't any bounce here you have it.

It's Emerson and one poll, but I'm afraid you're not wrong. I'd more worried if that was post DNC, but I'm starting to believe Biden might actually lose the election. The writing has been on the wall for a while. Nonetheless I doubt another Dem would do better, at least polling doesn't reflect that.

Biden isn't losing until we vote not polls