Yougov: Trump +2

[Matty]

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1767716886194590189

[TechbroMBA]

I’m really excited for how this will get unskewed.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah Ds should be so nervous about Trump +2

[GoTfan]

I think Trump is on track to win at this point. Not seeing many ways for that to change.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I think Trump is on track to win at this point. Not seeing many ways for that to change.

Lol it's MOE, don't be a Doomer, we will win MI, PA and WI

[Tekken_Guy]

I think Trump is on track to win at this point. Not seeing many ways for that to change.

Biden isn’t down by much and it only takes some marginal improvements for him to win. I think the race could go either way.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Compare this to London Breed she is only up 3 pts to her Anglo saxon opponent and she can lose. Being up 3 pts is nothing in politics and I am not voting for her, I have decided not to

But, Breed is blk not white, Trump is not gonna get the blk vote

[Progressive Pessimist]

I really wonder what it's going to take for Biden to get a consistent lead in polls again. Maybe the convention?

I still only have so much faith in polls' predictive value right now, all that aside. I maintain that the Biden campaign has been proving themselves to be doing just about everything else right under the circumstances, and that's what the State of the Union was really meant to do. Other fundamentals like that I still believe are to Biden's advantage, or moving that way.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I really wonder what it's going to take for Biden to get a consistent lead in polls again. Maybe the convention?

I still only have so much faith in polls' predictive value right now, all that aside. I maintain that the Biden campaign has been proving themselves to be doing just about everything else right under the circumstances, and that's what the State of the Union was really meant to do. Other fundamentals like that I still believe are to Biden's advantage, or moving that way.

Lol as long it's 2 pts Biden can win these are biased polls that had Trump ahead in primary Biden is leading in EMERSON

[GoTfan]

I really wonder what it's going to take for Biden to get a consistent lead in polls again. Maybe the convention?

I still only have so much faith in polls' predictive value right now, all that aside. I maintain that the Biden campaign has been proving themselves to be doing just about everything else right under the circumstances, and that's what the State of the Union was really meant to do. Other fundamentals like that I still believe are to Biden's advantage, or moving that way.

Lol as long it's 2 pts Biden can win these are biased polls that had Trump ahead in primary Biden is leading in EMERSON

Your constant screaming isn't helping.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Nevermind about the Breed comment but R +3 pickup of the PREZ is nothing when we all we are talking about is WI, MI and PA, 3 states

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

I really wonder what it's going to take for Biden to get a consistent lead in polls again. Maybe the convention?

I still only have so much faith in polls' predictive value right now, all that aside. I maintain that the Biden campaign has been proving themselves to be doing just about everything else right under the circumstances, and that's what the State of the Union was really meant to do. Other fundamentals like that I still believe are to Biden's advantage, or moving that way.

Fundamentals point to Trump +10.

Biden should get a consistent lead by the end of this month if he wants any chance of winning, as he has a spending headstart that incumbents typically have. The polls will likely deteriorate with worsening economic conditions.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I really wonder what it's going to take for Biden to get a consistent lead in polls again. Maybe the convention?

I still only have so much faith in polls' predictive value right now, all that aside. I maintain that the Biden campaign has been proving themselves to be doing just about everything else right under the circumstances, and that's what the State of the Union was really meant to do. Other fundamentals like that I still believe are to Biden's advantage, or moving that way.

Fundamentals point to Trump +10.

Biden should get a consistent lead by the end of this month if he wants any chance of winning, as he has a spending headstart that incumbents typically have. The polls will likely deteriorate with worsening economic conditions.

.you can't be serious so you know what's called voting not going by polls obviously not

It's a Rassy poll no other polls has Trump up 10


Rs are polling behind Trump not the other way around you know Trump is gonna fall hard in MI, WI and PA

[Brittain33]

Fundamentals point to Trump +10.

So true bestie, an incumbent president running for re-election is always at a huge disadvantage and will run behind his polls.

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

Fundamentals point to Trump +10.

So true bestie, an incumbent president running for re-election is always at a huge disadvantage and will run behind his polls.

Incumbents are getting crushed worldwide. The economy is bad and getting worse.

[oldtimer]

I really wonder what it's going to take for Biden to get a consistent lead in polls again. Maybe the convention?

I still only have so much faith in polls' predictive value right now, all that aside. I maintain that the Biden campaign has been proving themselves to be doing just about everything else right under the circumstances, and that's what the State of the Union was really meant to do. Other fundamentals like that I still believe are to Biden's advantage, or moving that way.

Fundamentals point to Trump +10.

Biden should get a consistent lead by the end of this month if he wants any chance of winning, as he has a spending headstart that incumbents typically have. The polls will likely deteriorate with worsening economic conditions.

The Fundementals are mixed.

Strong overheating economy vs mess in foreign affairs.

It's a like a lighter version of 1968.

[redjohn]

Trump continues to slightly lead nationally and leads Biden by small-to-decent margins in swingy states. A swing of 4 or more completely changes the game. In my mind, this race is still a tossup due to the amount of time between now and the election (if the election were held today, Trump would easily win, but let's give it some time)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump continues to slightly lead nationally and leads Biden by small-to-decent margins in swingy states. A swing of 4 or more completely changes the game. In my mind, this race is still a tossup due to the amount of time between now and the election (if the election were held today, Trump would easily win, but let's give it some time)

Lol Biden will win WI, MI and Pa

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

I really wonder what it's going to take for Biden to get a consistent lead in polls again. Maybe the convention?

I still only have so much faith in polls' predictive value right now, all that aside. I maintain that the Biden campaign has been proving themselves to be doing just about everything else right under the circumstances, and that's what the State of the Union was really meant to do. Other fundamentals like that I still believe are to Biden's advantage, or moving that way.

Fundamentals point to Trump +10.

Biden should get a consistent lead by the end of this month if he wants any chance of winning, as he has a spending headstart that incumbents typically have. The polls will likely deteriorate with worsening economic conditions.

The Fundementals are mixed.

Strong overheating economy vs mess in foreign affairs.

It's a like a lighter version of 1968.

The real time indicators of the labor market are rapidly deteriorating. Hiring rates are have collapsed from way above 2019 levels in 2021 to about 2014 levels now.

[oldtimer]

I really wonder what it's going to take for Biden to get a consistent lead in polls again. Maybe the convention?

I still only have so much faith in polls' predictive value right now, all that aside. I maintain that the Biden campaign has been proving themselves to be doing just about everything else right under the circumstances, and that's what the State of the Union was really meant to do. Other fundamentals like that I still believe are to Biden's advantage, or moving that way.

Fundamentals point to Trump +10.

Biden should get a consistent lead by the end of this month if he wants any chance of winning, as he has a spending headstart that incumbents typically have. The polls will likely deteriorate with worsening economic conditions.

The Fundementals are mixed.

Strong overheating economy vs mess in foreign affairs.

It's a like a lighter version of 1968.

The real time indicators of the labor market are rapidly deteriorating. Hiring rates are have collapsed from way above 2019 levels in 2021 to about 2014 levels now.

Doesn't sound that different from 1967 either.

[DrScholl]

+2 being considered a landslide is laughable. Trumpism has created a level of delusion only rivaled by North Korea's origin stories for it's leaders.

[Progressive Pessimist]

+2 being considered a landslide is laughable. Trumpism has created a level of delusion only rivaled by North Korea's origin stories for it's leaders.

It kind of would be though given our idiotic system.