What will it take for New Jersey to become a swing state?

[Tekken_Guy]

What will it take for New Jersey to become a swing state?

[Samof94]

What will it take for New Jersey to become a swing state?

Some kind of "Reverse Clinton" on the GOP where the GOP moves somewhat to the left on social issues and nominates someone much younger than Trump who has no connection to Trump.

[Yelnoc]

Maybe a younger black or Puerto Rican conservative who is Trumpy without Trump's baggage and is really into some goofy right-wing hobby horse, whatever the next crypto "thing" is. Maybe AI will draw some new political battle line that we can't yet perceive, and he'll be on the right side of that.

[wnwnwn]

Dominicans trending right
A more suburban friendly GOP

[Flyersfan232]

Maybe a younger black or Puerto Rican conservative who is Trumpy without Trump's baggage and is really into some goofy right-wing hobby horse, whatever the next crypto "thing" is. Maybe AI will draw some new political battle line that we can't yet perceive, and he'll be on the right side of that.

like 90% of black republicans are grifter trash

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

The Republican is pro SSM, says climate change is real, and supports new tunnels under the Hudson.

[Yelnoc]

Maybe a younger black or Puerto Rican conservative who is Trumpy without Trump's baggage and is really into some goofy right-wing hobby horse, whatever the next crypto "thing" is. Maybe AI will draw some new political battle line that we can't yet perceive, and he'll be on the right side of that.

like 90% of black republicans are grifter trash

That you are likely to see on social media? Sure. But there is absolutely a strong and growing current of conservative black nationalism within black america. That movent is fundamentally incompatible with the liberal principles of the modern Democratic party. Given the inelasticity of our two party system, the GOP is the only place that movent could go if they broke from the Democrats. And, imo, there are plenty of warning signs that such a break is happening.

[MarkD]

Another Democrat governor does what Florio did -- raises taxes.

[ProgressiveModerate]

NJ is much more urban than most give it credit for - the GOP would really have to break through in urban areas, especially urban non-whites, perhaps not enough to win these places but enough to half the Dem vote net or so.

This is basically what happened in 2021 Gov except it was the consequence of low Dem turnout in these urban areas rather than the GOP making any sustainable gains.

Ocean County also needs to keep being pulled right and South Jersey counties actual GOP vote nets.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

I feel like New York is slighlty easier on a federal level. NJ has a much more affluent white liberal population with traditional suburbs. NYC has ethnic shifts, Long Island, and a working class upstate population. The only issue is West Chester and the Hudson Valley.