MN (KSTP/SUSA): Biden 42 - Trump 38

[Minnesota Mike]

https://twitter.com/thauserkstp/status/1765530256591528143

[Progressive Pessimist]

Biden should be fine here, uncommitted bed-wetting and all.

[Lief 🗽]

Throw it in the trash after last night. Toss-up/Tilt R.

[Tekken_Guy]

Throw it in the trash after last night. Toss-up/Tilt R.

It’s still a Lean D state. If Biden loses Minnesota the election isl not over.

[wbrocks67]

Similar to their January poll (Biden +3, 42-39)

Hopefully their GE polls are better than their primary polls; their Dem one wasn't completely terrible, but they whiffed really bad on the GOP primary, overrating Trump's margin by nearly 15%.

Polls so far look similar to the early 2022 MN-gov polls for the same client:

May 2022: Walz +5, 44-39
Jan 2022: Walz +3, 43-40

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Wait, I thought y'all said that the primaries don't mean anything when it comes to the GE... or are they only consequential when they're supposedly bad for Biden?

[Eraserhead]

Might be a pretty significant third party vote here this year.

[South Dakota Democrat]

Throw it in the trash after last night. Toss-up/Tilt R.

You just need to chill in general.  Remember how you got all worked up about Michigan a few days ago?  I do.

[Redban]

Might be a pretty significant third party vote here this year.

I agree. RFK Jr will kill it here

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Lean D

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Might be a pretty significant third party vote here this year.

I agree. RFK Jr will kill it here

He's not on the ballot in all 50 states

[Minnesota Mike]

Late getting back to this but here are the crosstabs.

https://kstp.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/SurveyUSA-General-Election-03-08-24.pdf

[Steve from Lambeth]

Throw it in the trash after last night. Toss-up/Tilt R.

It’s still a Lean D state. If Biden loses Minnesota the election isl not over.

If Biden loses Minnesota, he is doomed in the remaining Rust Belt states.

[Tekken_Guy]

Throw it in the trash after last night. Toss-up/Tilt R.

It’s still a Lean D state. If Biden loses Minnesota the election isl not over.

If Biden loses Minnesota, he is doomed in the remaining Rust Belt states.

I meant to say “the election is long over”, sorry.

[Steve from Lambeth]

Throw it in the trash after last night. Toss-up/Tilt R.

It’s still a Lean D state. If Biden loses Minnesota the election isl not over.

If Biden loses Minnesota, he is doomed in the remaining Rust Belt states.

I meant to say “the election is long over”, sorry.

As a wise Illini once said, "Don t Trust pills"

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden won MN bye 7 with Tina Smith he will win it again bye 7 with Klobuchar

[LAKISYLVANIA]

Margin seems right, and while I expect a significant third party vote, i expect both to get higher percentages but +4/+5 is what i expect MN to be.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

It’s weird to see DFL next to Biden’s name. Not sure I’ve ever seen that next to a president even in the context of it being a Minnesota poll (we don’t get many North Dakota polls, so that doesn’t help). I’ve seen in with Klobuchar’s name though, even a few times outside of Minnesota sources.