Swing state Black voters (BlackPAC/brilliant corners): Trump at 8%

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/justinbaragona/status/1765141517767725110

[Matty]

What type of firm is this?

[wbrocks67]

What type of firm is this?

It's Cornell Belcher's polling firm, he's a Democratic pollster, so take with a tiny grain of salt, but still, decently helpful given it's still an n=800 sample of black voters.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yes it did, and it Trump is gonna get exactly 13, MI uncommitted was down to 13 percent, blks turnout for Biden

[DrScholl]

Respondents consider the biggest threat to African-Americans as Trump being re-elected. That says all you need to know.

[GAinDC]

At first I thought the headline meant that he was leading by 8% 😂

[heatcharger]

Color me skeptical.

[GAinDC]

Color me skeptical.

Why? This tracks with almost every election cycle throughout many, many years.

How is Trump suddenly doubling or even tripling his Black support this year?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Color me skeptical.

Trump will get 13 not 8 percent blk or not 26

[Progressive Pessimist]

Entirely believable.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Color me skeptical.

Black voters voting how they have been since the civil rights era? How is that confusing to you?

[Hollywood]

I'm skeptical that black people would be more concerned with Trump getting re-elected than the rise of white supremacy.  I've just never heard black people say the former was more concerning than the latter. 

The pollster is also providing lower numbers than the exit polls and seems to ignore turnout as the primary reason Trump underperformed.  Black turnout in GA went from 20% to 30%, and this explains why Trump lost despite doing better with AAs from his 2016 numbers. 

[Redban]

https://www.brilliant-corners.com/

brilliant corners conducted ground breaking work on behalf of the Democratic National Committee, which culminated in its widely successful 50 state strategy.  As lead pollster for the DNC, brilliant corners was instrumental in expanding the electorate and provided the foundation for the historic gains of the 2008 presidential election. In addition to its critical role as a member of the Obama for America polling team, brilliant corners continues to assist high profile corporate clients with their branding and reposition needs.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://www.brilliant-corners.com/

brilliant corners conducted ground breaking work on behalf of the Democratic National Committee, which culminated in its widely successful 50 state strategy.  As lead pollster for the DNC, brilliant corners was instrumental in expanding the electorate and provided the foundation for the historic gains of the 2008 presidential election. In addition to its critical role as a member of the Obama for America polling team, brilliant corners continues to assist high profile corporate clients with their branding and reposition needs.

Blks like me don't like Trump there are no Blue avatars on this forum that are blk they are only D Blk avatars proof is in the pudding Trump is only getting 8/13 percent blk not 25

[GAinDC]

I'm skeptical that black people would be more concerned with Trump getting re-elected than the rise of white supremacy.  I've just never heard black people say the former was more concerning than the latter. 

The pollster is also providing lower numbers than the exit polls and seems to ignore turnout as the primary reason Trump underperformed.  Black turnout in GA went from 20% to 30%, and this explains why Trump lost despite doing better with AAs from his 2016 numbers. 

You don’t get it? Black voters see those two things as connected, and for good reason.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I'm skeptical that black people would be more concerned with Trump getting re-elected than the rise of white supremacy.  I've just never heard black people say the former was more concerning than the latter. 

The pollster is also providing lower numbers than the exit polls and seems to ignore turnout as the primary reason Trump underperformed.  Black turnout in GA went from 20% to 30%, and this explains why Trump lost despite doing better with AAs from his 2016 numbers. 

Then why is Debbie Powell in FL of all states doing 13 pts better than Deminga did in the Congressional Ds are out polling Rs  in most of the swing states if Trump is getting a large African American vote

[DrScholl]

https://www.brilliant-corners.com/

brilliant corners conducted ground breaking work on behalf of the Democratic National Committee, which culminated in its widely successful 50 state strategy.  As lead pollster for the DNC, brilliant corners was instrumental in expanding the electorate and provided the foundation for the historic gains of the 2008 presidential election. In addition to its critical role as a member of the Obama for America polling team, brilliant corners continues to assist high profile corporate clients with their branding and reposition needs.

Cry cry cry cope cope cope. Trump is not winning the Black vote and he never was. Get over it.

[Sir Mohamed]

Color me skeptical.

Black voters voting how they have been since the civil rights era? How is that confusing to you?

Contradicts said poster's wishes.

[heatcharger]

Color me skeptical.

Black voters voting how they have been since the civil rights era? How is that confusing to you?

Contradicts said poster's wishes.

Mohamed calling me out for wishcasting? Well well well…

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The reason why Bush W did so well with blk men he had Colin Powell, and he won more blk men than McCain and Romney as well as reached out to Latinos.

Trump is gonna do lousy with blk voters

[Horus]

Seems a bit low.

[Hollywood]

I'm skeptical that black people would be more concerned with Trump getting re-elected than the rise of white supremacy.  I've just never heard black people say the former was more concerning than the latter. 

The pollster is also providing lower numbers than the exit polls and seems to ignore turnout as the primary reason Trump underperformed.  Black turnout in GA went from 20% to 30%, and this explains why Trump lost despite doing better with AAs from his 2016 numbers. 

Then why is Debbie Powell in FL of all states doing 13 pts better than Deminga did in the Congressional Ds are out polling Rs  in most of the swing states if Trump is getting a large African American vote

I don't think it's impossible for Trump to get 16% or more of the black vote in some of these swing states.  This pollster would have us believe that Trump is only getting 6-8% of black voters.  And Florida is a bad example for you to use, because I nailed Florida.    

In the last Florida Gubernatorial Race, DeSantis received 13%, and he won the way I told you he was going to win.  Black people weren't interested in voting him out of office, so they didn't show up to the polls. Democrats didn't even show up on election day.  There were black people I knew supported DeSantis, but didn't bother to come out.  I've lived and worked in the black stronghold of Broward County.  I talk to them, so I could tell DeSantis was going to annihilate Christ. And Trump has a much greater number of black voters openly supporting him in Broward.  

[pbrower2a]

Seems a bit low.

The last votes to be counted in Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin were from largely-black, inner-city precincts. That is how what looked like early Trump leads in those states evaporated. But black loyalty to the Democratic Party remains in the lack middle class because most successful blacks care about poor blacks (Mexican-Americans are that way, too). Middle-class whites generally are well separated from poor white people. White people living near Chicago's Gold Coast don't often interact with white poor people enduring economic distress as severe as in America's urban ghettos and barrios. If anything, white middle-class people are more likey to interact with middle-class blacks, Hispanics, or Asians than with white denizens of, to put it bluntly, "Meth Valley".

     

[President Johnson]

Is there a gender breakdown? If accurate, it would suggest that Biden is once again at North Korea margins with black women. And you love to see it.

[GAinDC]

Seems a bit low.

wow, I'm shocked you think that! *sarcasm*

This is about how well Warnock did against Herschel Walker with Black voters in 2022. I don't know if Biden will do that well, but he could come close