Who has right now the higher chance of becoming No. 47 this year?

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

I consideration of the latest Arizona and Georgia polls, a Kennedy presidency doesn't seem beyond reach anymore.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Before today I would have said Haley easily, but now it might actually be RFK.

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

Before today I would have said Haley easily, but now it might actually be RFK.

No matter which of either candidate might emerge from this election cycle the winner, if one of them is elected president against any expectation it will turn out to be the most shocking bombshell and the most unforeseen plot twist of a presidential election that was initially and for a long time purported to be the dullest election season ever. LOL

[BlueSwan]

I HAVE to vote Haley, but both of them are so close to zero, that it's bordeline pointless to even vote in this poll. I don't really see any realistic scenario of RFK winning. There is ONE and only one semi-realistic scenario where Haley wins and that is the scenario where Trump dies and the RNC convention goes with her because they either can't decide on an alternative MAGA nominee or are persuaded by polls showing Haley beating Biden soundly. In the scenario where Trump dies it still seems WAY more plausible that the convention gathers around someone like DeSantis rather than Haley though, so we are still pretty close to a zero-percent scenario.

[Lambsbread]

Nikki Haley has a better chance of winning in 2028 than RFK does of winning this year.

[Compuzled_One]

I HAVE to vote Haley, but both of them are so close to zero, that it's bordeline pointless to even vote in this poll. I don't really see any realistic scenario of RFK winning. There is ONE and only one semi-realistic scenario where Haley wins and that is the scenario where Trump dies and the RNC convention goes with her because they either can't decide on an alternative MAGA nominee or are persuaded by polls showing Haley beating Biden soundly. In the scenario where Trump dies it still seems WAY more plausible that the convention gathers around someone like DeSantis rather than Haley though, so we are still pretty close to a zero-percent scenario.

I think there's one scenario for him winning-peeling of a few states (Maine, Alaska, etc.), no one getting a majority, and Montana's delegation becoming tied due to backlash against the House Republicans. He might win the House then.

Of course, the chance he wins any states, much less passing through the keyhole and causing a deadlock, is extremely unlikely, so I'll go with Haley getting the nomination ultimately.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Harris does because Trump comeback is still uncertain, until he wins, since Biden is the inc and it's a 304 map anyways we assume Trump loses

[SWE]

Haley ranks fairly high on the list of people who are most likely to be our next president, RFK has no chance whatsoever

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

Nikki Haley has a better chance of winning in 2028 than RFK does of winning this year.

Thanks for your remark. I've changed the ambiguous title.
Of course, I want to know who could become president this year.

[Eraserhead]

Haley easily.