Why are some folks so confident in a Trump victory?

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

From what I am seeing on this forum lately is by far the worst bed wetting ever coming from the red avatars and all of the gloating from the blue avatars is insane.

[Redban]

Because notwithstanding the poll-unskewers on here , all the data points to a Trump win

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

They're not they are assuming, Atlas is obsessed with polls everytime we vote Trump underpolled or Rs lose a special, based on yesterday 13% uncommitted Trump isn't getting 26% blk but 13% blk

Do you know you are supposed to take R leads with a grain of salt especially with MOE like Trump he will lose we have a better 303 VBM turnout

I am taking Hogan lead seriously he is ahead by 23 ensure we win a wave insurance seats Like TX or NEB

[TechbroMBA]

"When you're accustomed to privilege equality feels like oppression."

I'd say this forum probably still would say Biden is a slight favorite even with the polling clearly putting him (slightly) behind. It's just because Trump's not trailing a consistent 5-10 points it is making you more neurotic.

If you just want to whine about how folks are counting Biden out why don't you just pick up Joe at +275 (https://www.bovada.lv/sports/politics) and make fun of us in November?

[TodayJunior]

Muh……POLLS!!!!!
Don’t even bother with the gotv infrastructure. Who needs it?

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

Biden

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Given the rapidity of Biden's decline, I was thinking the only thing that was likely to save him was a Trump conviction in the Jan. 6 trial.

Now that seems like that's off the table. I'm just feeling a sense of dread now worse than any time in the past 7 years.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Polls. They underestimated Trump in both 2016 and 2020, so if he is ahead that must mean he is poised for a 1988 landslide...even though that is beyond unrealistic.

That's really it though. Election results have not backed up this notion.

[Ljube]

Too early to tell.
I was certain in 2016 though.

[Devils30]

Polls. They underestimated Trump in both 2016 and 2020, so if he is ahead that must mean he is poised for a 1988 landslide...even though that is beyond unrealistic.

That's really it though. Election results have not backed up this notion.

Economic growth also suggests a re-elect.

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

Polls. They underestimated Trump in both 2016 and 2020, so if he is ahead that must mean he is poised for a 1988 landslide...even though that is beyond unrealistic.

That's really it though. Election results have not backed up this notion.

Economic growth also suggests a re-elect.

Most people think the economy is bad and getting worse.

[Ljube]

Polls. They underestimated Trump in both 2016 and 2020, so if he is ahead that must mean he is poised for a 1988 landslide...even though that is beyond unrealistic.

That's really it though. Election results have not backed up this notion.

Economic growth also suggests a re-elect.

Most people think the economy is bad and getting worse.

There are two economies:
Economy for the rich, and that one is fabulous.
Economy for the poor, and that one is atrocious.