Will Democrats win SC-01 back this decade?
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April 28, 2024, 09:40:48 PM
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Question: Will Democrats win SC-01 back this decade?
#1
Yes		  
#2
No		  
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Total Voters: 15

Author Topic: Will Democrats win SC-01 back this decade?  (Read 251 times)
Tekken_Guy
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« on: February 24, 2024, 04:33:50 PM »
Will Democrats win SC-01 back this decade? It’s Trump+8, only 2 points to the right of its 2010s incarnation, and trending leftward.
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TML
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: February 24, 2024, 04:38:50 PM »
If the order to redraw it is upheld and it is redrawn to be more D-leaning than right now, then I would be more confident about it flipping back. Otherwise, if it is allowed to remain in its current configuration, then I am less confident about Democrats reclaiming it in the near future.
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Spectator
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« Reply #2 on: February 24, 2024, 04:41:45 PM »
In a Trump midterm or 2028, probably.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #3 on: February 24, 2024, 05:04:41 PM »
Quote from: TML on February 24, 2024, 04:38:50 PM
If the order to redraw it is upheld and it is redrawn to be more D-leaning than right now, then I would be more confident about it flipping back. Otherwise, if it is allowed to remain in its current configuration, then I am less confident about Democrats reclaiming it in the near future.

I mean it flipped in 2018 in a district that mostly resembles its current incarnation.
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Arizona Iced Tea
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« Reply #4 on: February 24, 2024, 05:11:26 PM »
They could but it will require a blue wave year to make it competitive.
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wnwnwn
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« Reply #5 on: February 25, 2024, 09:06:48 AM »
It would require favorable trends in Charleston and a blue wave.
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