Quinnipiac - Biden +4

[MR DARK BRANDON]

https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3890

Biden - 49
Trump - 45

[Redban]

Biden 38
Trump 37
RFK Jr 15
West 3
Stein 3

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

2 point movement towards Trump since last poll.

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Biden 38
Trump 37
RFK Jr 15
West 3
Stein 3

Thanks. It will be curious to see what kind of effect west/stein have in the end

[2016]

https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3890

Biden - 49
Trump - 45

Enjoy

That's down from a couple of weeks ago when Biden led Trump 50-44.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Great news

[jaichind]

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1760381200793804824

[President Johnson]

https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3890

Biden - 49
Trump - 45

Enjoy

That's down from a couple of weeks ago when Biden led Trump 50-44.

Probably statistical noise. We'll have to wait for the next one or two polls. Biden has slightly gained with other pollsters at the same time. There's not much of a trendline so far.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Biden's best poll still makes the electoral college a toss-up.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden's best poll still makes the electoral college a toss-up.

MI, PA and WI are not tossups, GA, NC are

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Biden 38
Trump 37
RFK Jr 15
West 3
Stein 3

Thanks. It will be curious to see what kind of effect west/stein have in the end

Stein has already run twice before, so I think we have a pretty good idea of what effect she'll have.
West will have almost no effect because he's really putting no effort whatsoever into his "campaign".

[GAinDC]

Biden 38
Trump 37
RFK Jr 15
West 3
Stein 3

Thanks. It will be curious to see what kind of effect west/stein have in the end

Stein has already run twice before, so I think we have a pretty good idea of what effect she'll have.
West will have almost no effect because he's really putting no effort whatsoever into his "campaign".

Redban is desperate for a third party overperformance this year!

[GeorgiaModerate]

The difference between Haley-Biden and Haley-Biden-others is fascinating.  Why would RFK pull so much support from Haley?

[Harlow]

The difference between Haley-Biden and Haley-Biden-others is fascinating.  Why would RFK pull so much support from Haley?

People angry with Trump not being on the ballot flocking to the other anti-establishment, conspiratorial kook

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

The difference between Haley-Biden and Haley-Biden-others is fascinating.  Why would RFK pull so much support from Haley?

No one likes Haley for any political stance and she is just a stand-in for not Biden Of course a non-Biden non-Republican would be a preferable option. I might have answered Haley in that two-way (until about 2 months ago), but RFK Jr. easily beats her as a Biden alternative.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

The difference between Haley-Biden and Haley-Biden-others is fascinating.  Why would RFK pull so much support from Haley?

There's been an interesting pattern in RFK's support that I've seen across many polls.
RFK is viewed much more favorably by Republicans than Democrats. 
But in a Trump/Biden match-up, RFK usually pulls votes about evenly from both candidates.

Basically, almost every Democrat who views RFK favorably is voting for RFK.  But most Republicans who view RFK favorably are voting for Trump.  This suggests that RFK is the second choice of a lot of Trump supporters.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is the right poll, all those other polls are R hacks

[oldtimer]

WARNING

Whites

Biden 46 Trump 48

Hispanics

Biden 45 Trump 48

It's the 2nd consecutive month that Quinnipiac has found Trump winning Hispanics by more than Whites, I genuinly think they've changed their methodology recently.

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3890

Biden - 49
Trump - 45

Doesn’t make any sense. Quin currently has Biden’s approval at 40%. (And disapproval at 57% lol). There’s no way he’s polling 9% better in a matchup lol. Outlier. Throw this one out.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

WARNING

Whites

Biden 46 Trump 48

Hispanics

Biden 45 Trump 48

It's the 2nd consecutive month that Quinnipiac has found Trump winning Hispanics by more than Whites, I genuinly think they've changed their methodology recently.

What's the sample size? Subsamples like this usually have crazy margins of error and aren't worth paying attention to.

The total number polled is 1,421. Hispanics are about 18.7% of the US population (although lower for percentage of registered voters), so even if they were sampled at that rate (which as noted would be an oversampling), that's a pretty small sample of 266.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3890

Biden - 49
Trump - 45

Doesn’t make any sense. Quin currently has Biden’s approval at 40%. (And disapproval at 57% lol). There’s no way he’s polling 9% better in a matchup lol. Outlier. Throw this one out.

Throw out the Biden polls Trump isn't winning by 9 and Hogan isn't winning by 16

[oldtimer]

WARNING

Whites

Biden 46 Trump 48

Hispanics

Biden 45 Trump 48

It's the 2nd consecutive month that Quinnipiac has found Trump winning Hispanics by more than Whites, I genuinly think they've changed their methodology recently.

What's the sample size? Subsamples like this usually have crazy margins of error and aren't worth paying attention to.

The total number polled is 1,421. Hispanics are about 18.7% of the US population (although lower for percentage of registered voters), so even if they were sampled at that rate (which as noted would be an oversampling), that's a pretty small sample of 266.

I know, but it's the 2nd consecutive month, and it now smells January 1st methodology change.

And I can guess why, they did something screwy with their White Men and Hispanic numbers that applied on January 1st.

[DS0816]

https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3890

Biden - 49
Trump - 45

Reverse those 2024 candidates’s listed numbers … and then you have a poll report which can be believed.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3890

Biden - 49
Trump - 45

Reverse those 2024 candidates’s listed numbers … and then you have a poll report which can be believed.

Yeah reverse the polls because you are an R, Ds have beaten Rs in every special Edays have you been paying attention, we just won KY G, and NY 3 that's not an R 3 Environment

[DS0816]

https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3890

Biden - 49
Trump - 45

Reverse those 2024 candidates’s listed numbers … and then you have a poll report which can be believed.

Yeah reverse the polls because you are an R…

Reverse those numbers because those are more accurate with what will become the outcome here with Election 2024.

If you think a 2024 Joe Biden and the Democratic Party are going to win the U.S. Popular Vote, for U.S. President, and by +4 (following his 2020 result of +4.45) percentage points, and with a job-approval rating struggling for 40 percent … you are dreaming.