Emerson NC Trump +3

[jaichind]

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1760280866683600967

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

Trump certainly will get between 46 and 50% of the vote in NC.

[Redban]

I don't know how Biden supporters cope with the RFK Jr-included numbers in all of these polls. They always act like those numbers don't exist so that they can focus on the head-to-head.

In the RFK Jr-included poll here - even in an extremely favorable scenario where the remaining 10% breaks 80% for Biden, 10% Trump, and 10% RFK Jr, then Biden still loses by 2%

[wbrocks67]

I don't know how Biden supporters cope with the RFK Jr-included numbers in all of these polls. They always act like those numbers don't exist so that they can focus on the head-to-head.

In the RFK Jr-included poll here - even in an extremely favorable scenario where the remaining 10% breaks 80% for Biden, 10% Trump, and 10% RFK Jr, then Biden still loses by 2%

Because these are incredibly unrealistic. Even if you average all the polls, RFK splits close to 50/50 from Biden/Trump. Trump only losing 1% in a multi-way compared to Biden losing 7% is just wildly out of step.

[Sir Mohamed]

Interesting that PA and NC are almost identical. That said, I never bought Trump would win the Tar Heel State by high single digits. Since 2008, all elections were close here and I expect nothing different for 2024. Tilt R.

[Vern]

NC will vote to the left of GA in 2024.