Morning Consulting: Trump +4
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  Morning Consulting: Trump +4		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Morning Consulting: Trump +4  (Read 295 times)
jaichind
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« on: February 20, 2024, 07:07:12 PM »
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jaichind
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« Reply #1 on: February 20, 2024, 07:07:54 PM »
Was Trump +1 earlier in Feb
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Birdish
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« Reply #2 on: February 20, 2024, 07:14:00 PM »
Their last 5 polls.
Trump +5 -> Trump +2 -> Trump 5+ -> Trump +1 -> Trump +4

Be funny if their next poll is Biden +1 given the pattern.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #3 on: February 20, 2024, 07:23:11 PM »
RCP
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Birdish
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« Reply #4 on: February 20, 2024, 07:34:07 PM »

This moved the average from Trump +1.3 to Trump +1.6.

Interestingly, they still haven't put the HarrisX poll in. I'm genuinely curious if they will now, since they only started to include them in July of 2023 when they partnered with The Messenger and none of their prior polls had been included before then.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #5 on: February 20, 2024, 07:40:56 PM »
Quote from: Birdish on February 20, 2024, 07:34:07 PM

This moved the average from Trump +1.3 to Trump +1.6.

Interestingly, they still haven't put the HarrisX poll in. I'm genuinely curious if they will now, since they only started to include them in July of 2023 when they partnered with The Messenger and none of their prior polls had been included before then.

They do include Harvard Harris and that always has wide Trump margins.
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Birdish
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« Reply #6 on: February 20, 2024, 07:55:52 PM »
« Edited: February 20, 2024, 07:59:20 PM by Birdish »
Quote from: Tekken_Guy on February 20, 2024, 07:40:56 PM
Quote from: Birdish on February 20, 2024, 07:34:07 PM

This moved the average from Trump +1.3 to Trump +1.6.

Interestingly, they still haven't put the HarrisX poll in. I'm genuinely curious if they will now, since they only started to include them in July of 2023 when they partnered with The Messenger and none of their prior polls had been included before then.

They do include Harvard Harris and that always has wide Trump margins.

The Harris Poll is one of the oldest pollsters still in business and they've always been included in the RCP average. I have my own thoughts of Mark Penn taking over and using HarrisX as a means to collect data, but it shouldn't be surprising that they're included.

Edit: Unironically used "OG" to describe The Harris Poll  Tongue
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