Biden 281 Trump 257
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June 08, 2024, 04:43:56 PM
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
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Author Topic: Biden 281 Trump 257  (Read 878 times)
°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
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« on: February 17, 2024, 09:37:21 AM »
Discuss with maps



Discuss with maps. I know that you want to.

Although Trump has a strong lead in the polls, the undecideds could easily go mostly for Biden.

I think that my map is plausible and I just might stick with it until the election
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1 on: February 17, 2024, 09:43:10 AM »
NV isn't R Lean it was wrong last time and NC and TX are wave insurance
Users need to learn about wave insurance how many pts is ALLRED behind Cruz it's tied
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°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
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« Reply #2 on: February 17, 2024, 09:56:43 AM »
Quote from: PHARAOH BAKARI SELLERS on February 17, 2024, 09:43:10 AM
NV isn't R Lean it was wrong last time and NC and TX are wave insurance
Users need to learn about wave insurance how many pts is ALLRED behind Cruz it's tied
Nevada could be a swing state.
NC & TX will be interesting to watch.
I always expect there to be big surprises. There always are.
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MR DARK BRANDON
Liam
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« Reply #3 on: February 17, 2024, 10:12:10 AM »
Quote from: °Leprechaun on February 17, 2024, 09:37:21 AM
Discuss with maps



Discuss with maps. I know that you want to.

Although Trump has a strong lead in the polls, the undecideds could easily go mostly for Biden.

I think that my map is plausible and I just might stick with it until the election

Flip NV and you have mine
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°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
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« Reply #4 on: February 17, 2024, 10:19:50 AM »
Quote from: MR DARK BRANDON on February 17, 2024, 10:12:10 AM
Quote from: °Leprechaun on February 17, 2024, 09:37:21 AM
Discuss with maps



Discuss with maps. I know that you want to.

Although Trump has a strong lead in the polls, the undecideds could easily go mostly for Biden.

I think that my map is plausible and I just might stick with it until the election

Flip NV and you have mine
If Biden wins NV, he doesn't need MI.
Interesting.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #5 on: February 17, 2024, 06:13:40 PM »
« Edited: February 17, 2024, 10:06:26 PM by Progressive Pessimist »
I still don't see Nevada voting to Arizona's right yet. Though they may vote closer to each other this year.

Not unreasonable though. I still don't think Biden should be underestimated in Georgia, by the way.
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Pouring Rain and Blairing Music
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #6 on: February 17, 2024, 07:04:35 PM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on February 17, 2024, 06:13:40 PM
I still don't see Nevada voting to Arizona's right yet. Though they may vote cliser to each other this year.

Not unreasonable though. I still don't think Biden should be underestimated in Georgia, by the way.

GA and NV are my two biggest “issues” with that map too. I think that overall it’s a good map. I’d probably leave them gray if tossups were and option. Leave the other 48+DC as is.

With NV, I would actually make the comparison of GA and FL in 2020 where FL ended up being to the right of GA. At this point, I think it’s too soon to tell. I probably wouldn’t feel comfortable making a guess until late October. Might be the closest state.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #7 on: February 17, 2024, 07:16:35 PM »
« Edited: February 17, 2024, 07:20:15 PM by Roll Roons »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on February 17, 2024, 06:13:40 PM
I still don't see Nevada voting to Arizona's right yet. Though they may vote cliser to each other this year.

It's certainly not out of the question. The trends in Maricopa and Pima are much worse for Republicans than they are in Clark. Hell, I never thought GA would vote more Democratic than NC and then it happened.
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GoTfan
GoTfan21
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« Reply #8 on: February 18, 2024, 07:16:22 AM »
I'm still a bit pessimistic on all of this-call it my natural state-but Biden is still down in many of the polls, isn't he? It seems a bit optimistic to suggest him winning MI and WI at this stage.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #9 on: February 18, 2024, 09:26:16 AM »
If Rosen wins NV is not Lean R
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The Economy is Getting Worse
riverwalk3
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« Reply #10 on: February 18, 2024, 08:50:50 PM »
The undecideds will probably break 50-50 or towards Trump if the economy gets worse.
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Meclazine for Israel
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« Reply #11 on: February 19, 2024, 03:34:37 PM »
Wisconsin and Pennsylvania the other way.
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°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
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« Reply #12 on: March 15, 2024, 05:07:54 PM »
The election is still a tossup, but I am still sticking with this map.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #13 on: March 16, 2024, 04:48:23 AM »
Lol if you are betting that NV goes R it's incorrect
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
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« Reply #14 on: March 16, 2024, 05:12:13 AM »
Quote from: °Leprechaun on February 17, 2024, 09:37:21 AM
Discuss with maps



Discuss with maps. I know that you want to.

Although Trump has a strong lead in the polls, the undecideds could easily go mostly for Biden.

I think that my map is plausible and I just might stick with it until the election

This is Bidens ceiling I think. Certainly possible
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