Echelon: Trump +4
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election
  2024 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Echelon: Trump +4
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Author Topic: Echelon: Trump +4  (Read 352 times)
Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
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« on: February 16, 2024, 07:50:50 PM »

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Redban
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« Reply #1 on: February 16, 2024, 07:56:24 PM »

Trump 49
Biden 45
Unsure 6

Trump 42
Biden 37
Kennedy 8
Stein 2
Manchin 2
West 2
Unsure 6

Biden +4 in the 2020 recall, indicating the unlikelihood of a non-response bias against Democrats / Biden supporters
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Birdish
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« Reply #2 on: February 17, 2024, 11:24:15 AM »
« Edited: February 17, 2024, 11:33:56 AM by Birdish »

Trump 49
Biden 45
Unsure 6

Trump 42
Biden 37
Kennedy 8
Stein 2
Manchin 2
West 2
Unsure 6

Biden +4 in the 2020 recall, indicating the unlikelihood of a non-response bias against Democrats / Biden supporters

I checked and it appears its the first time they've asked that this cycle. Which might explain why the head to head shifted, they're trying a different weighting. Which, as I've noted before, Isn't always a good idea because it's actually a common phenomena for voters to lie on the recalled voter question.

Edit: That's not to say you shouldn't ask the question. But I don't think it disproves the theory that there is or isn't a response bias.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #3 on: February 17, 2024, 11:30:18 AM »

Yeah sure
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