SC (The Citadel Military College Poll): Trump +19, +17
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  SC (The Citadel Military College Poll): Trump +19, +17
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🇺🇦 Purple 🦄 Unicorn 🇮🇱
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« on: February 16, 2024, 03:12:32 PM »

54-35-7-4 Trump-Biden-Others-Undecided

49-32-9-4-3-2 Trump-Biden-Kennedy-Manchin (out)-Stein-Undecided

https://poll.citadel.edu/

https://poll.citadel.edu/results-and-data/
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #1 on: February 16, 2024, 03:14:22 PM »

The only way SC becomes a swing state if James Harrison ran for 28 Sen
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The Mikado
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« Reply #2 on: February 18, 2024, 02:21:34 PM »

SC was 55-43 in 2020 and 55-41 in 2016, for context. I think the giant lead just says a lot about the undecideds more than anything else because Trump right at the levels he got in 2020 and 2016 says that the undecideds are probably not likely to go his way.
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Redban
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« Reply #3 on: February 18, 2024, 02:31:33 PM »

The argument that “Trump  is polling at the same amount he got in 2016 and 2020, so all of the undecideds will go for Biden.” That’s like the argument people made in the primary that, “Trump is polling at 45-48% in all these states, so 52-55% will vote against him in a two-person race.” But in practice, what happens is that he will get some of the undecideds; it is an impossibility that literally 100% of undecideds will go for one candidate over another. That he is matching his 2020 percentage in a race with stronger third party presence speaks to his greater strength in 2024 compared to 2020
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President Johnson
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« Reply #4 on: February 18, 2024, 02:33:09 PM »

SC was 55-43 in 2020 and 55-41 in 2016, for context. I think the giant lead just says a lot about the undecideds more than anything else because Trump right at the levels he got in 2020 and 2016 says that the undecideds are probably not likely to go his way.

Republicans almost always get 54% or 55% in South Carolina, with few exceptions like Scott. It's actually fascinating it has been this static over the last few cycles.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #5 on: February 18, 2024, 02:43:13 PM »

SC was 55-43 in 2020 and 55-41 in 2016, for context. I think the giant lead just says a lot about the undecideds more than anything else because Trump right at the levels he got in 2020 and 2016 says that the undecideds are probably not likely to go his way.

Republicans almost always get 54% or 55% in South Carolina, with few exceptions like Scott. It's actually fascinating it has been this static over the last few cycles.

I'm 28 James Harrison might run for Scott seat in 28 and SC will become competitive, we don't have to win SC like TX but we just have make it close and 54/46 is the right margin not 54/32
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The Economy is Getting Worse
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« Reply #6 on: February 18, 2024, 09:21:11 PM »

SC was 55-43 in 2020 and 55-41 in 2016, for context. I think the giant lead just says a lot about the undecideds more than anything else because Trump right at the levels he got in 2020 and 2016 says that the undecideds are probably not likely to go his way.
Biden seems to have a ceiling of 45 so far in the national polling for whatever reason.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #7 on: February 18, 2024, 09:31:05 PM »

SC was 55-43 in 2020 and 55-41 in 2016, for context. I think the giant lead just says a lot about the undecideds more than anything else because Trump right at the levels he got in 2020 and 2016 says that the undecideds are probably not likely to go his way.

I feel like that's been the story of all the polling so far, and certainly could be the story of the election as a whole if Biden ends up winning.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #8 on: February 18, 2024, 09:31:47 PM »

SC was 55-43 in 2020 and 55-41 in 2016, for context. I think the giant lead just says a lot about the undecideds more than anything else because Trump right at the levels he got in 2020 and 2016 says that the undecideds are probably not likely to go his way.
Biden seems to have a ceiling of 45 so far in the national polling for whatever reason.


You believe polls too much just wait till we find out in Eday
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